Chicago White Sox vsHouston Astros Prediction
The Houston Astros are 1-1 at home this season and are solid favorites to beat the Chicago White Sox who are 1-1 on the road this season. The Astros have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Astros starter Jose Urquidy is forecasted to have a better game than White Sox starter Lucas Giolito. Jose Urquidy has a 52% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Lucas Giolito has a 37% chance of a QS. If Jose Urquidy has a quality start the Astros has a 80% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 5.5 and he has a 50% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Astros win 67%. In Lucas Giolito quality starts the White Sox win 60%. He has a 37% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 60% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Houston Astros is Yordan Alvarez who averaged 2.38 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 40% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Astros have a 76% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Chicago White Sox is Eloy Jimenez who averaged 2.24 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 37% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the White Sox have a 53% chance of winning.