Chicago White Sox vsDetroit Tigers Prediction
The Detroit Tigers will host the Chicago White Sox in a game this week that is sure to be a closely contested match-up. According to the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer, both teams have a 45 to 55 percent chance of winning based on 10,000 simulations generated one play at a time. The starting pitchers for both teams, Eduardo Rodriguez for the Tigers and Dylan Cease for the White Sox, will be an important factor in the outcome of this game.
Based on simulation data, Eduardo Rodriguez is forecasted to have a better game than Dylan Cease. Rodriguez has a 61% chance of having a quality start, compared to Cease's 51% chance. When Rodriguez has a quality start, the Tigers have a 69% chance of winning. Additionally, Rodriguez has a 43% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio, which increases his team's chances of winning to 56%. In contrast, Cease has a 14% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio, but when he has a quality start, the White Sox win 65% of simulations.
Jake Rogers and Andrew Vaughn are the most productive batters for the Tigers and White Sox respectively. Jake Rogers has an average hits+walks+RBI per simulation of 2.38 and a 41% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI. If he does have a big game, the Tigers have an increased chance of winning at 65%. For the White Sox, Andrew Vaughn has an average hits+walks+RBI per simulation of 1.87 and a 28% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI. Like Rogers, if Vaughn has a big game then the White Sox have an increased chance to win at 65%.
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