Kansas City Royals vs

Cleveland Guardians Prediction

The Cleveland Guardians are 38-32 at home this season and are heavy favorites to beat the Kansas City Royals who are 24-48 on the road this season. The Guardians have a better than 60% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Guardians' starter Triston McKenzie is forecasted to have a better game than Royals' starter Zack Greinke. Triston McKenzie has a 60% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Zack Greinke has a 33% chance of a QS. If Triston McKenzie has a quality start the Guardians has a 85% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 4.5 and he has a 32% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Guardians win 73%. In Zack Greinke quality starts the Royals win 57%. He has a 21% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 57% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Cleveland Guardians is Jose Ramirez who averaged 2.67 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 45% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Guardians have a 85% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Kansas City Royals is MJ Melendez who averaged 1.83 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 28% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Royals have a 48% chance of winning.