Boston Red Sox vs

Cleveland Guardians Prediction

Guardians starter Parker Messick is forecasted to have a better game than Red Sox starter Sonny Gray. Parker Messick has a 67.00% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Sonny Gray has a 50.00% chance of a QS. if (Parker Messick has a quality start the Guardians has a 77.00% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 5.3 and he has a 24.00% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Guardians win 66.00%. In Sonny Gray quality starts the Red Sox win 59.00%. He has a 51.00% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 59.00% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Cleveland Guardians is Travis Bazzana who averaged 2.44 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 44.00% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Guardians have a 68.00% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Boston Red Sox is Willson Contreras who averaged 1.94 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 31.00% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Red Sox have a 55.00% chance of winning.