Colorado Rockies vs

Chicago Cubs Prediction

The Chicago Cubs are set to take on the Colorado Rockies in a highly anticipated matchup at home. With a solid record of 41-34 at Wrigley Field this season, the Cubs enter the game as heavy favorites against the struggling Rockies, who have only managed a measly 22-53 record on the road. According to our AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer, the Cubs have an impressive 60% chance of coming out victorious in this clash.

A key factor that tilts the scales in favor of the Cubs is the pitching matchup. Cubs' starter Marcus Stroman is projected to have a standout performance, with a 50% chance of achieving a Quality Start (QS). On the other hand, Rockies' starter Chris Flexen has a significantly lower chance, with only 19% likelihood for a QS. Stroman's simulated strikeout to walk ratio of 4.2 and a 31% chance of a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio further solidifies his potential dominance. In simulations where Stroman achieves a 5/1 K/BB ratio, the Cubs win an impressive 75% of the time. In contrast, when Flexen manages a quality start, the Rockies can only claim victory in 53% of simulations.

While pitching plays a pivotal role, it's also worth examining the offensive firepower from both teams. For the Cubs, Cody Bellinger emerges as their most productive batter based on average hits, walks, and RBI per simulation, with an impressive average of 2.91 hits+walks+RBI. Bellinger also has a promising 53% chance of having a big game with three or more hits, walks, and RBI. Notably, when Bellinger shines bright and has a big game, the Cubs' chances of winning skyrocket to 82%. On the other side, Hunter Goodman stands out as the most productive batter for the Rockies, averaging 2.53 hits+walks+RBI. However, Goodman's chances of having a big game are slightly lower at 48%, and this translates to a lower win probability for the Rockies at 36%.

To get a comprehensive prediction on how our model is picking the outcome of this exciting game, be sure to subscribe to BetQL. Our AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer will provide detailed insights and statistical analysis to guide your betting decisions. Don't miss out on the opportunity to maximize your chances of success in this thrilling Cubs versus Rockies showdown.