Pittsburgh Pirates vs

Boston Red Sox Prediction

The Boston Red Sox are 41-25 at home this season and the Pittsburgh Pirates are 19-45 on the road this season. This is a close match-up with both teams having a 45 to 55 percent chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Pirates starter Paul Skenes is forecasted to have a better game than Red Sox starter Payton Tolle ®. Paul Skenes has a 56% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Payton Tolle ® has a 47% chance of a QS. If Paul Skenes has a quality start the Pirates has a 67% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 4.8 and he has a 34% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Pirates win 48%. In Payton Tolle ® quality starts the Red Sox win 70%. He has a 29% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 70% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Boston Red Sox is Alex Bregman who averaged 2.22 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 36% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Red Sox have a 68% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Pittsburgh Pirates is Tommy Pham who averaged 1.98 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 30% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Pirates have a 62% chance of winning.