Cincinnati Reds vsBoston Red Sox Prediction
The Boston Red Sox are set to host the Cincinnati Reds in what is expected to be an evenly-matched game according to the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Both teams have a chance of winning, with the Red Sox boasting a home record of 15-11 and the Reds struggling on the road, with only 7 wins in 15 games. The simulation gives both teams a 45-55% chance of winning. Reds starter Ben Lively (p) is expected to have a better game than Red Sox starter Brayan Bello, with Lively having a 29% chance of a Quality Start (QS) while Bello only has a 22% chance. The Reds would have a 76% chance of winning if Lively has a Quality Start, and he has a 20% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio.
Moreover, the most productive batter for the Boston Red Sox in simulations has been identified as Jarren Duran, who averages 2.91 hits+walks+RBI per simulation. He has a 52% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI, and if he does, the Red Sox have a high likelihood of winning at 62%. On the other hand, the most productive batter for the Cincinnati Reds in simulations has been Jake Fraley, who averaged 3.05 hits+walks+RBI. He also has a good chance of having a big game with over three hits, walks. RBI at 53%, however, if he does then their chances of winning are slightly lower at just over half (58%).
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