Baltimore Orioles vs

Boston Red Sox Prediction

Red Sox starter Brayan Bello is forecasted to have a better game than Orioles starter Trevor Rogers. Brayan Bello has a 43.00% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Trevor Rogers has a 32.00% chance of a QS. if (Brayan Bello has a quality start the Red Sox has a 79.00% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3.1 and he has a 23.00% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Red Sox win 65.00%. In Trevor Rogers quality starts the Orioles win 69.00%. He has a 17.00% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 69.00% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Boston Red Sox is Willson Contreras who averaged 2.71 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 47.00% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Red Sox have a 68.00% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Baltimore Orioles is Gunnar Henderson who averaged 2.25 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 38.00% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Orioles have a 54.00% chance of winning.