San Diego Padres vs

Baltimore Orioles Prediction

Orioles starter Shane Baz is forecasted to have a better game than Padres starter Griffin Canning. Shane Baz has a 55.00% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Griffin Canning has a 35.00% chance of a QS. if (Shane Baz has a quality start the Orioles has a 78.00% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 5.2 and he has a 46.00% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Orioles win 64.00%. In Griffin Canning quality starts the Padres win 63.00%. He has a 23.00% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 63.00% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Baltimore Orioles is Pete Alonso who averaged 2.25 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 38.00% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Orioles have a 72.00% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the San Diego Padres is Jackson Merrill who averaged 2.02 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 31.00% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Padres have a 60.00% chance of winning.