San Diego Padres vsAtlanta Braves Prediction
The Atlanta Braves are 9-10 at home this season and the San Diego Padres are 11-4 on the road this season. This is a close match-up with both teams having a 45 to 55 percent chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Padres' starter Sean Manaea is forecasted to have a better game than Braves' starter Charlie Morton. Sean Manaea has a 62% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Charlie Morton has a 43% chance of a QS. If Sean Manaea has a quality start the Padres has a 68% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3.7 and he has a 23% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Padres win 52%. In Charlie Morton quality starts the Braves win 62%. He has a 8% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 62% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Atlanta Braves is Matt Olson who averaged 2.11 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 34% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Braves have a 59% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the San Diego Padres is Manny Machado who averaged 3.02 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 56% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Padres have a 64% chance of winning.