PGA Tour Betting Picks, Predictions & Sleepers

Target these specific golf bets for the PGA Tour 2024 U.S. Open

Untitled Image
1 Sport Monthly Subscription
Get access to BetQL's picks, betting data, and find out which way the pros are picking for every game.
5.0
5.0
1 Sport Monthly Subscription
Get access to BetQL's picks, betting data, and find out which way the pros are picking for every game.
Claim Offer

PGA Tour Betting Picks, Predictions & Sleepers: 2024 U.S. Open

The 2024 U.S. Open will take place at Pinehurst No. 2 in Pinehurst, NC. Wyndham Clark took home the win here last season, and this year's event will feature 156 players who are sure to be in for another challenging course. The purse is a whopping $20 million, with the winner bringing home $3.9 million.

Our model has been crushing it overall this season on these finishing-position picks, not to mention a few outright winners, so be sure to check out our model’s best bets and sleeper picks for this week’s PGA Tour event below!

Untitled Image
1 Sport Monthly Subscription
Get access to BetQL's picks, betting data, and find out which way the pros are picking for every game.
5.0
5.0
1 Sport Monthly Subscription
Get access to BetQL's picks, betting data, and find out which way the pros are picking for every game.
Claim Offer

PGA Tour Betting Picks, Predictions & Sleepers: 2024 U.S. Open

The 2024 U.S. Open will take place at Pinehurst No. 2 in Pinehurst, NC. Wyndham Clark took home the win here last season, and this year's event will feature 156 players who are sure to be in for another challenging course. The purse is a whopping $20 million, with the winner bringing home $3.9 million.

Our model has been crushing it overall this season on these finishing-position picks, not to mention a few outright winners, so be sure to check out our model’s best bets and sleeper picks for this week’s PGA Tour event below!

How to Bet The PGA Tour 2024 U.S. Open

Last week at the Memorial Tournament, our model NAILED the winner with Scottie Scheffler at +360 odds, which I know was the obvious pick but a win is a win. Sometimes you just don't overthink it. It also cashed in with Tony Finau's Top-20 finish for a nice little +165 pick-up, so it was once again a successful golf weekend. Let's see if we can cash more tickets this week at the third major, the U.S. Open!

BetQL’s predictive PGA model takes into account overall player performance, recent form, course strengths and weaknesses per player, and sportsbook odds. It has been developed and tested throughout previous seasons and has compiled historical data from 25+ years of golfer and course history.

After running our PGA Model, these particular finishing position bets are standing out with the most value on the board. 

Note: odds presented below come from BetQL’s PGA Model. Star ratings are on a 1-5 scale (1 being least valuable, 5 being most valuable).

Top Finishing Position Model Picks For The 2024 U.S. Open

Scottie Scheffler To Win (+335, BetRivers) ⭐⭐⭐

Our model is giving Scheffler +270 odds to win the tournament, thus making his +335 BetRivers price a three-star value. At this point, you would have to be a fool not to put down at least something on Scheffler to win almost every time that he goes out onto a golf course. He's simply unbelievable, with five wins already this season alone, and is the undisputed No. 1 golfer on the planet via OWGR (Official World Golf Rankings). He's also No. 1 in the FedEx Cup standings and has a great chance to pick up another win, which would be his second major victory this year. He's finished inside the top 10 in every single event. Scheffler is 1st in total strokes gained, 1st in strokes gained on approach to green, and 2nd in strokes gained off the tee. The only area where he has "struggled" is with his putting, where he ranks 71st. That's still in the top half of the field.

Bet $5, Get $150 instantly in Bonus Bets + Get a No Sweat NBA SGP Every Day of NBA Playoffs!
DraftKings Has You Covered- Claim Now! 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER
5.0
5.0
Bet $5, Get $150 instantly in Bonus Bets + Get a No Sweat NBA SGP Every Day of NBA Playoffs!
DraftKings Has You Covered- Claim Now! 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER
Claim Offer

Rory McIlroy Top-5 Finish (+300, BetRivers) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Our model is giving McIlroy +195 odds to finish in the top five at this tournament, making his +300 odds at BetRivers a four-star value. He's been great this season, and the Irishman sits at third right now in the FedEx Cup standings with two wins and four top-10 finishes this year already. He's the third-ranked player in the world via OWGR, so you would expect this kind of performance out of him. This is an event he is all too familiar with, and finished as the runner-up here just last year. He comes in off of five straight strong performances, including a 12th-place finish at the PGA Championship. McIlroy is third in total strokes gained and doesn't have a huge weakness anywhere in his game right now. Putting has been his biggest challenge, but he's still ranked 39th in that category and in the top half of the field.

Patrick Cantlay Top-10 Finish (+500, BetRivers) ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐

Our model is giving Cantlay +148 odds to finish in the top 10, making his +500 odds at BetRivers a five-star value. The veteran American golfer has struggled this season a bit, sitting at 21st in the FedEx Cup standings but remaining 9th on the OWGR. He has two top-10 finishes this season out of 13 events played. His game hasn't been bad, but it also has been better. He's 57th in total strokes gained, which remains in the top half of the field. Where he has struggled the most is on his approach, where he ranks a terrible 122nd. He came in 14th at last year's event, and has typically performed well, so the model likes the value here at 5/1 odds.

Max Homa Top-20 Finish (+190, FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Our model is giving Homa -117 odds to finish in the top 20 at this tournament, making his +190 odds at FanDuel a four-star value. Homa has really made a name for himself over the last couple of years, even though he has been playing in the PGA since 2013. The veteran has climbed the ranks and now sits at 10th on the OWGR, as well as 14th this season in the FedEx Cup standings. He's finished inside the top-25 in eight of his 14 events this year, including a 3rd-place finish at the Masters. He failed to make the cut at last year's U.S. Open, so he will be looking for a better outcome here. His game has been solid, ranking 49th in total strokes gained. He's struggled off the tee, ranking 125th there, but overall he has been quite good. The model thinks he should be juiced to finish top-20 here, and loves the +190 you can get at FanDuel.

Cameron Young Top-40 Finish (-115, DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Our model is giving Young -169 odds to finish in the top 40 at this tournament, making his -115 odds at DraftKings a four-star value. He's just starting to enter the prime of his career at 27 years of age and is already ranked 19th on the OWGR, which is quite impressive. He's not having his best season, however, as he sits at 42nd in the latest FedEx Cup standings. He came in 9th at the Masters but finished 63rd at the PGA Championship, so there have been mixed results. He came in 32nd here last year, so he managed to finish inside the top-40. In terms of his stats, he's 56th in total strokes gained, which isn't that bad. He's struggled the most with his putting, where he ranks 114th. We just need him to not be terrible, which shouldn't be too much to ask of a top-20 golfer in the world. The model likes these -115 odds because it has him as very likely to finish top-40 at -169.

Create a free account for access to this content
We will also send you today's free picks and betting trends.

New to betQL?