2023 Memorial Tournament Best Bets & Sleeper Picks

Memorial Tournament Betting Picks

Muirfield Village Golf Club in Dublin, Ohio will host the 2023 Memorial Tournament as 120 golfers battle it out for their share of the $20m purse. The winner will take home $3.6 million. Below, you’ll see our model’s best bets and sleeper picks for this week’s PGA Tour event.

BetQL’s predictive PGA model takes into account overall player performance, recent form, course strengths and weaknesses per player and sportsbook odds. It has been developed and tested throughout previous seasons and has compiled historical data from 25+ years of golfer and course history. Note: odds presented below were shopped among our sportsbook partners to identify the best values. Content is free for a limited time. All statistics below were found on PGATour.com. Star ratings are on 1-5 scale (1 being least valuable, 5 being most valuable).

Memorial Tournament Best Bets & Sleeper Picks 

Jon Rahm To Win (+700, DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

BetQL’s PGA Model is giving Rahm +303 odds to win this event, thus making his +700 odds at DraftKings a solid value. Rahm is simply one of the best players on the planet right now. He's leading in the FedEx Cup standings and is ranked 2nd in the world on OWGR. He won the 2023 Masters Tournament and came in 2nd recently at the Mexico Open at Vidanta. He didn't have his best stuff at the PGA Championship in his last event, finishing tied for 50th at +7, but he's bound to come back with a vengeance. He already has four wins this year alone, to go along with eight top-10 finishes.

Rory McIlroy Top 5 Finish (+330, PointsBet) ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐

Our model is giving McIlroy +105 odds to finish in the Top 5, wildly different odds than the +330 odds you can find at PointsBet. He's currently 13th in the FedEx Cup championship race right now and ranked 3rd overall in the world via OWGR. He's played in nine events so far this season and has one win under his belt at the CJ CUP. However, he also was the runner-up at the Arnold Palmer Invitational and four top-10 finishes. He's made the cut in seven of his nine events, and most recently came in 7th at the PGA Championship with a -2 score.

Justin Thomas Top 10 Finish (+280, PointsBet) ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐

BetQL is giving Thomas -103 odds to finish in the Top 10, which makes his +280 odds at PointsBet a bargain. He's not having his best season this year, sitting at 71st in the FedEx Cup standings right now, but still ranked 15th in the world on the OWGR. He hasn't been able to notch a win this season, nor has he been able to snag a runner-up prize. However, he does have two top-10 finishes and has made the cut in 11 of his 12 events played. In his last event, he finished T65 with a score of +12 at the PGA Championship.

Sungjae Im Top 20 Finish (+130, PointsBet) ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐

The model is giving Im -132 odds to finish in the Top 20 and you can get valuable +130 odds over at PointsBet. It's been a decent year for him so far, as he is sitting at 27th in the FedEx Cup standings and is ranked 19th in the world via OWGR. He has yet to win an event this season or be runner-up, but he does have seven top-10 finishes. He also has 12 top-25 finishes and has made 16 of 19 cuts in events played.

Taylor Montgomery Top 40 Finish (+175, FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

BetQL is giving Montgomery -106 odds to finish in the Top 40 and you can capitalize +175 odds at FanDuel. He's currently ranked 35th in the FedEx Cup standings, and 65th in the world via OWGR. He has yet to win an event this year, nor has he been a runner-up, but he does have an impressive four top-10 finishes on the season. He also owns 11 top-25 finishes and has made 17 of 21 cuts in the events he has played. All we need is for him to finish in the top-40 at this event.