BetQL Staff Picks To Win 2022 Masters
See which golfers we’re targeting to win the 2022 Masters
Brad Pinkerton - Apr 6, 2022, 1:53pm EDTDan Karpuc: Tyrrell Hatton +7000, PointsBet
This is one of the best longshot Masters bets you can make, according to BetQL’s PGA Model. BetQL is projecting him at +2764, a massive value against the +7000 odds he has on PointsBet. Our model is giving Hatton a 3.5% implied probability (14th-best odds in the field) to win the Masters compared to the 1.4% implied probability he has on PointsBet.
Hatton has been on a solid streak this year, having made four consecutive cuts at the Hero World Challenge (ninth), Arnold Palmer Invitational (second), THE PLAYERS Championship (13th) and the Valspar Championship (21st). He finished T-18 with a final-round 68 at last year’s Masters. He has also been the best putter on Tour this year. He ranks first on Tour in SG: Putting, first in Overall Putting Average, first in Average Distance Of Putts Made, second in 3-Putt Avoidance and third in 1-Putt Percentage. Hatton also ranks second in Going For The Green (Birdie Or Better), eigth in SG: Total, 19th in Birdie Average and 22nd in Scoring Average. Putting is a crucial part of winning a major tournament, so he seemingly has an edge in that department. If he can put together the rest of his game, he could shock some people at Augusta (except us, that is).
Lucy Burdge: Justin Thomas +1400, DraftKings
This will be Thomas’ seventh Masters appearance, and this could be the year he finally wins it. He has never missed a cut for the Masters, and he’s only behind Jon Rahm on the odds list, tied with Colin Morikawa and Jordan Spieth. BetQL’s PGA Model is projecting Thomas at +640 odds, giving Thomas a 13.5% implied probability to win. This is also one of only three ⭐⭐⭐⭐ Masters bets from the PGA Model, so look closely at this one. Thomas has seven top-20 finishes this season and he still has good value at these odds, so I have confidence he has a real shot to win the Masters this year.
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Brad Pinkerton: Rory McIlroy +1600, DraftKings
Truthfully, I'm looking at three golfers in this range, and their odds are highest at DraftKings: Dustin Johnson (+1600), Jordan Spieth (+1800) and McIlroy. Why this trio? Because these three boast the lowest scoring averages at the Masters among players with 25-49 rounds: 1. Spieth (70.46), 2. Johnson (71.03) and 3. McIlroy (71.33). There's great value in all three, but I'm leaning McIlroy here because BetQL’s PGA Model is projecting him at +854 odds (10.5% implied probability to win), well shorter than the +1600 odds at DraftKings, making him a ⭐⭐⭐⭐ value. McIlroy has won four career majors, but the Masters is the only one missing in his quest for the Grand Slam. With six top-10 finishes in 13 appearances at Augusta, this could finally be the year for McIlroy.
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