2022 Masters: Model Projection For Justin Thomas

Justin Thomas At The Masters

Like the favorite in this tournament Jon Rahm, Justin Thomas has never missed the cut at Augusta National in his career. This will be his seventh Masters appearance, and the Major Champion has been incredibly impressive as of late, finishing tied for third in the Valspar Championship just last week. In last year's Master's Tournament, he shot a second-round 67 to pull within three strokes of the lead through 36 holes, before finishing tied for 21st. Thomas has never finished below 39th in this tournament, so a bet on him to finish top-40 would be almost a lock.

He won the Player's Championship last year, an event that is widely regarded as the "fifth" major championship in golf, and also had a 2nd place finish at the PGA Tour event at Sherwood Country Club. Needless to say, his arrow has been pointing up for quite a while now, and bettors are starting to take notice. Thomas is one of the favorites to win a green jacket this year, because of his success at this course combined with his very good recent play heading into this tournament.

Year-By-Year Masters Scores

2021: T21 (E)

2020: 4 (-12)

2019: T12 (-8)

2018: T17 (-4)

2017: T22 (+2)

2016: T39 (+10)

A Chalky, But Smart Pick

It is no wonder why everyone seems to be on Thomas with his performance this season. He's second in average score (per PGATour.com), coming in at a low 69.617. That's very nice, but he also has some other impressive stats that might lead you to believe he is a valuable bet in the upcoming tournament.

He's third in birdie average, with 5.22, and also ranks fifth in sand save percentage when he gets into trouble in the rough, at 68.29%. So he's hitting his shots well, making them count for birdies, and he's able to get himself out of trouble when he gets there and save par quite often. That's a recipe for success for any golfer, but when you get it with one of the best golfers on the planet, you tend to want to bet it.

Thomas is currently listed at +1400 to win the Masters over with our friends at BetMGM. That's 14/1 value on a guy who has been riding a hot streak and has consistently done well in this tournament. Even if it's just a small amount, a bet on Thomas would be a smart one to make at this year's prestigious Master's.

BetQL Model Projection (⭐⭐⭐⭐)

According to our model, Thomas has a 13.9% chance to win the Masters (+625 odds), right behind Jon Rahm, who has 15.1% odds. Take advantage of this value against BetMGM's +1400 odds now using our exclusive offer below!