Jon Rahm: Model Projection For 2022 Masters Favorite

The World's Top Golfer

In the history of the Master's Tournament, you would be hard-pressed to find someone who has been as consistently good at Augusta as Jon Rahm has since he first started playing on the course. He made his Masters debut in 2017, finishing tied for 27th and easily his worst finish there and has been one of the top contenders at the course almost every year since.

Rahm has finished in the top 10 in each of the past four Masters, and last season he was the only player to finish in the top 10 in all four majors plus the Players Championship. He's never once missed the cut here and hasn't even been close to it either. There's a reason he's ranked as the world's #1 golfer right now, and it's also the reason he's the biggest favorite to finally win the Masters and take home a well-deserved green jacket.

Jon Rahm's Masters History

2021: T5 (-6)

2020: T7 (-10)

2019: T9 (-10)

2018: 4 (-11)

2017: T27 (+3)

Rahm will have to contend with a crop of major champions, including former Masters champions Dustin Johnson and Jordan Spieth, who both sit at around +1400 at most sportsbooks. Iron play is a real key here at Augusta, and usually, the ones who have that going on for them have the best shot at winning the tournament. Rahm has been so effective in his career in this category that it would be hard to argue against him.

He is ranked 1st in SG: Off-The-Tee and 4th in SG: Tee-To-Green, so he has parts of his game that are playing just as well as they usually are.

You can't argue the history Rahm has here though. He's been so good playing at Augusta, and he'll have every chance to continue his hot streak at the Masters.

Model Projection (⭐⭐⭐⭐)

Our model is giving Rahm a 15.1% chance to win the 2022 Masters (+564 odds). That's the highest implied probability of any golfer in this tournament.

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