Toronto's Oakdale Golf & Country Club will host the 2023 RBC Canadian Open as 124 golfers battle it out for their share of the $9 million purse; the winner will take home $1.62 million. Below, you’ll see our golf model’s best bets and sleeper picks for this week’s PGA Tour event.
BetQL’s predictive PGA model takes into account overall player performance, recent form, course strengths and weaknesses per player and sportsbook odds. It has been developed and tested throughout previous seasons and has compiled historical data from 25+ years of golfer and course history. Note: odds presented below were shopped among our sportsbook partners to identify the best values. Content is free for a limited time. All statistics below were found on PGATour.com. Star ratings are on 1-5 scale (1 being least valuable, 5 being most valuable).
Rory McIlroy To Win (+500, DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
BetQL’s PGA Model is giving McIlroy +265 odds to win this event, thus making his +500 odds at DraftKings a solid value. After this week's news that the PGA Tour and LIV are going to be merging, you just know that Rory is going to be very angry. He has stuck his neck out defending the PGA Tour over the last year, basically being their shield, and just got stabbed in the back.
He's currently 13th in the FedExCup championship race right now and ranked third overall in the world via OWGR. He's played in nine events so far this season and has one win under his belt at the CJ CUP. However, he also was the runner-up at the Arnold Palmer Invitational and had four top-10 finishes. He's made the cut in seven of his nine events, and most recently came in seventh at the PGA Championship. Revenge win incoming?
Matt Fitzpatrick Top 5 Finish (+300, DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐
Our model is giving Fitzpatrick +111 odds to finish in the top five, wildly different odds than the +300 odds you can find at DraftKings. He's currently 30th in the FedExCup championship race right now and ranked eighth overall in the world via OWGR. He's played in 15 events so far this season and has one win under his belt at the RBC Heritage. However, he also has four top-10 finishes and seven top-25 placements. He's made the cut in 10 of his 15 events, and most recently failed to make the cut at the PGA Championship.
Cameron Young Top 10 Finish (+180, DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐
BetQL is giving Young -164 odds to finish in the top 10, which makes his +180 odds at DraftKings a bargain. He's not having his best season this year, sitting at 47th in the FedExCup standings right now, but still ranked 17th in the world via OWGR. He hasn't been able to notch a win this season, but he was runner-up at the World Golf Championships-Dell Technologies Match Play event. He also has three top-10 finishes and has made the cut in 12 of his 13 events played. In his last event, he failed to make the cut at the PGA Championship.
Aaron Wise Top 20 Finish (+350, PointsBet) ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐
The model is giving Wise -125 odds to finish in the Top 20 and you can get valuable +350 odds over at PointsBet. It certainly hasn't been the best year for him, ranking 106th in the FedExCup standings and ranked 60th in the world via OWGR. He hasn't won or even finished runner-up at any event this year, but he does have a top-10 finish. He also has four top-25 finishes and has made the cut in eight of his 13 events. In his most recent event, he failed to make the cut at the PGA Championship.
Will Gordon Top 40 Finish (+125, FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
BetQL is giving Gordon -112 odds to finish in the top 40 and you can capitalize on +125 odds at FanDuel. He's currently ranked 95th in the FedExCup standings, and 134th in the world via OWGR. He has yet to win an event this year, nor has he been a runner-up, but he does have a top-10 finish on the season. He also owns three top-25 finishes and has made 15 of 22 cuts in the events he has played. In his last event, he tied for 52nd at the Charles Schwab Challenge.