2023 John Deere Classic Best Bets & Sleeper Picks

John Deere Classic Betting Picks

TPC Deere Run in Silvis, IL will host the 2023 John Deere Classic as 156 golfers battle it out for their share of the $7.4M purse. The winner will take home $1.332 million. Below, you’ll see our model’s best bets and sleeper picks for this week’s PGA Tour event.

Last week, we hit Alex Noren to finish in the top 40 at +200, a nice plus-money winner, and now we will try to do the same this week!

BetQL’s predictive PGA model takes into account overall player performance, recent form, course strengths and weaknesses per player and sportsbook odds. It has been developed and tested throughout previous seasons and has compiled historical data from 25+ years of golfer and course history. Note: odds presented below were shopped among our sportsbook partners to identify the best values. Content is free for a limited time. All statistics below were found on PGATour.com. Star ratings are on 1-5 scale (1 being least valuable, 5 being most valuable).

John Deere Classic Best Bets & Sleeper Picks 

Cameron Young To Win (+1600, DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐

BetQL’s PGA Model is giving Young +571 odds to win this event, thus making his +1600 odds at DraftKings a solid value. He's having a decent season so far and is 49th in the FedExCup standings right now. Young is ranked 19th in the world right now via OWGR. He's played in 17 events so far this season and has not notched a win yet. He has three top-10 finishes and six top-25 finishes in his 17 events. In his last event, he came in tied for 60th at the Travelers Championship with a score of 5-under.

Taylor Montgomery Top 5 Finish (+1200, DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐

Our model is giving Montgomery +271 odds to finish in the top five, wildly different odds than the +1200 odds you can find at DraftKings. He's had a decent season so far, sitting at 41st in the FedExCup rankings, and is now 64th on the OWGR. He hasn't been able to win an event this season and doesn't have any runner-up finishes, but he does own four top-10 placements. Out of his 23 events played, he has 11 top-25 finishes as well. In his last event at the U.S. Open, he failed to make the cup with a score of six-over.

Matt Kuchar Top 10 Finish (+500, DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐

BetQL is giving Kuchar +152 odds to finish in the top 10, which makes his +500 odds at DraftKings a bargain. The American has had better years, but he has not been bad either. He's currently sitting at 51st in the FedEx Cup standings and is ranked 57th in the world right now. He's competed in 20 events this season but has failed to notch a win or a runner-up finish. However, he has placed in the top 10 four times and has finished in the top-25 eight times. In his last event at the Travelers Championship, he failed to make the cut with a score of 5-over.

K.H. Lee Top 20 Finish (+250, DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐

The model is giving Lee -115 odds to finish in the Top 20 and you can get valuable +250 odds over at DraftKings. The South Korean has been having a decent season so far, ranking 65th in the FedEx Cup standings and ranked 52nd in the world right now. He's competed in 22 events this season and has failed to collect a win or be the runner-up in any of them this season. However, he does have three top-10 finishes and five top-25 finishes. In his most recent event at the Travelers Championship, he failed to make the cut with a score of 1-under.

Will Gordon Top 40 Finish (+130) ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐

BetQL is giving Gordon -117 odds to finish in the Top 40 and you can capitalize on this +130 price. The American golfer is currently ranked 94th in the FedEx Cup standings, and 133rd in the world via OWGR. Gordon has played in 25 events this year and has not secured a win or a runner-up finish yet. He does have one top-10 finish and four top-25 finishes, but overall it's been a forgettable season for him. In his last event at the Rocket Mortgage Classic, he tied for 74th with a score of 5-under.