2023 Fortinet Championship Picks, Predictions & Sleepers

How to Bet The 2023 Fortinet Championship

Golf is already back! The new PGA season begins at Silverado Resort in Napa, CA, which will host the 2023 Fortinet Championship as golfers battle it out for their share of the $8.4M purse in this season's first event. The winner will take home $1.512 million.

Below, you’ll see our model’s best bets and sleeper picks for this week’s PGA Tour event.

BetMGM Betting Insights: Fortinet Championship Tournament Winner

 Line Movement (opening, current)

• Justin Thomas +1400, +1600
• Sahith Theegala +2000, +1600
• Cam Davis +2500, +2000
• Akshay Bhatia +5500, +4500

 Highest Ticket%

• Justin Thomas 10.9%
• Max Homa 10.1%
• Sahith Theegala 9.1%

 Highest Handle%

• Max Homa 24.8%
• Sahith Theegala 15.5%
• Cam Davis 8.4%

 Biggest Liabilities

• Sahith Theegala
• Max Homa
• Akshay Bhatia

2023 Fortinet Championship Model Picks, Predictions & Sleepers 

BetQL’s predictive PGA model takes into account overall player performance, recent form, course strengths and weaknesses per player, and sportsbook odds. It has been developed and tested throughout previous seasons and has compiled historical data from 25+ years of golfer and course history. Note: odds presented below come from BetQL’s PGA Model. Star ratings are on a 1-5 scale (1 being least valuable, 5 being most valuable).

After running our PGA Model, these particular finishing position bets are standing out with the most value on the board. 

Top Finishing Position Model Picks For Tour Championship

Max Homa To Win (+700, DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

BetQL’s PGA Model is giving Homa +291 odds to win this event, making his +700 odds at DraftKings a solid value. He is coming off of an incredible season, ranked No. 9 in the FedExCup standings. Homa also ranked No. 7 in the world via OWGR (Official World Golf Ranking). He played 24 events last season and had two wins, as well as a runner-up finish. He had 12 top-10 finishes and 17 top-25 finishes in his 24 events. In his last event, he tied for ninth at the TOUR Championship with a score of 10-under par.

Matt Kuchar Top-5 Finish (+1000, DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐

Our model is giving Kuchar +352 odds to finish in the top five, wildly different odds than the +1000 odds you can find at DraftKings. He had a decent season last year, coming in at No. 66 in the FedExCup rankings, and is ranked 64th on the OWGR. He had no wins and no runner-up finishes, but he owned four top-10 placements. Out of the 24 events he played, he had eight top-25 finishes as well. In his last event at the FedEx St. Jude Championship, he tied for 61st with an even score.

Taylor Montgomery Top-10 Finish (+550, DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐

BetQL is giving Montgomery +197 odds to finish in the top 10, which makes his +550 odds at DraftKings a bargain. The American was decent last season, finishing at 53rd in the FedExCup standings and ranked 66th in the world. He competed in 27 events and had no wins and no runner-up finishes. He also placed in the top 10 four times and finished in the top 25 11 times. In his last event at the FedEx St. Jude Championship, he finished tied for 37th with a score of 5-under par.

K.H. Lee Top-20 Finish (+300, DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐

BetQL is giving Lee +103 odds to finish in the top 20, which makes his +300 odds at DraftKings a bargain. The South Korean had an okay season, finishing 77th in the FedExCup standings and ranked 65th in the world. He competed in 27 events last season and had no wins and no runner-up finishes. He also placed in the top 10 three times and finished in the top 25 five times. In his last event at the Wyndham Championship, he failed to make the cut with a score of even par.