2023 FedEx St. Jude Championship Picks, Predictions & Sleepers

How to Bet The 2023 FedEx St. Jude Championship

TPC Southwind in Memphis, TN, will host the 2023 FedEx St. Jude Championship as 70 golfers battle it out for their share of the $20M purse. The winner will take home $3.6 million. Below, you’ll see our model’s best bets and sleeper picks for this week’s PGA Tour event.

BetMGM Insights for FedEx St. Jude Championship – Tournament Winner

 Line Movement (opening, current)

• Scottie Scheffler +750, +650
• Jon Rahm +800, +900
• Rory McIlroy +850, +900
• Collin Morikawa +2500, +2200

 Highest Ticket%

• Jon Rahm 8.1%
• Scottie Scheffler 8.0%
• Rory McIlroy 6.3%

 Highest Handle%

• Scottie Scheffler 13.1%
• Jon Rahm 11.7%
• Collin Morikawa 8.9%

 Biggest Liabilities

• Collin Morikawa
• Sam Burns
• Jon Rahm

 BetMGM Insights for FedEx Cup Tour Championship Winner (including starting handicap)

 Line Movement (opening, current)

• Scottie Scheffler +850, +375
• Jon Rahm +900, +450
• Rory McIlroy +700, +550

 Highest Ticket%

• Scottie Scheffler 13.5%
• Rory McIlroy 9.2%
• Jon Rahm 9.1%

 Highest Handle%

• Scottie Scheffler 19.2%
• Jon Rahm 11.8%
• Viktor Hovland 6.1%

 Biggest Liabilities

• Scottie Scheffler
• Viktor Hovland
• Jordan Spieth

2023 FedEx St. Jude Championship Model Picks, Predictions & Sleepers 

The BetQL PGA model nailed Billy Horschel (+200) Top 40 in the 3M Open, and it was backing Rory McIlroy (+900) when he won Scottish Open, so you'll definitely want to check out the model's value picks for the FedEx St. Jude Championship below!

BetQL’s predictive PGA model takes into account overall player performance, recent form, course strengths and weaknesses per player, and sportsbook odds. It has been developed and tested throughout previous seasons and has compiled historical data from 25+ years of golfer and course history. Note: odds presented below come from BetQL’s PGA Model. Star ratings are on a 1-5 scale (1 being least valuable, 5 being most valuable).

After running our PGA Model, these particular finishing position bets are standing out with the most value on the board. 

Top Finishing Position Model Picks For The Wyndham Championship

Jon Rahm To Win (+800, DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐

BetQL’s PGA Model is giving Rahm +279 odds to win this event, thus making his +800 odds at DraftKings a solid value. He's having an incredible season and is ranked No. 1 in the FedExCup standings right now. Rahm is ranked third in the world right now via OWGR (Official World Golf Ranking). He's played in 17 events so far this season and has four wins, as well as two runner-up finishes. He has 10 top-10 finishes and 12 top-25 finishes in his 17 events. In his last event, he tied for second at the Open Championship with a score of 7-under par.

Sungjae Im Top-20 Finish (+150, DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐

The model is giving Im -198 odds to finish in the top 20 and you can get valuable +150 odds over at DraftKings. The South Korean has had an up-and-down season, but he's 32nd in the FedExCup standings and ranked 27th in the world. He's competed in 27 events this season, but has failed to notch a win or a runner-up finish. However, he has placed in the top 10 seven times and has finished in the top 25 15 times. In his last event at the Wyndham Championship, he tied for 14th with a score of 10-under par.

Rory McIlroy Top-5 Finish (+200, DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Our model is giving McIlroy -109 odds to finish in the top 5, wildly different odds than the +200 odds you can find at DraftKings. He's having a great season so far, sitting at third in the FedExCup rankings, and is now second on the OWGR. He has two wins at events this season and two runner-up finishes, and he owns 10 top-10 placements. Out of his 15 events played, he has 10 top-25 finishes as well. In his last event at the Open Championship, he tied for sixth with a score of 6-under par.

Tom Kim Top-40 Finish (-330, DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

BetQL is giving Kim -283 odds to finish in the top 40 and you can capitalize on this price. The South Korean golfer is currently ranked 14th in the FedExCup standings, and 18th in the world via OWGR. Kim has played in 23 events this year and has secured a win and a runner-up finish. He has seven top-10 finishes and 11 top-25 finishes as well. In his last event at the Open Championship, he tied for second with a score of 7-under par.

Tony Finau Top-10 Finish (+260, DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐

BetQL is giving Finau -120 odds to finish in the top 10, which makes his +260 odds at DraftKings a bargain. The American star has had a great season, sitting at 10th in the FedExCup standings and 17th in the world. He's competed in 21 events this season and has two wins, but no runner-up finishes. He has also placed in the top 10 five times and has finished in the top 25 12 times. In his last event at the 3M Open, he tied for seventh with a score of 15-under par.