2023 BMW Championship Picks, Predictions & Sleepers

How to Bet The 2023 BMW Championship

Olympia Fields Country Club in Olympia Fields, IL, will host the 2023 BMW Championship as 50 golfers battle it out for their share of the $20M purse. The winner will take home $3.6 million.

Below, you’ll see our model’s best bets and sleeper picks for this week’s PGA Tour event. But first, here are some betting insights from BetMGM:

BMW Championship – Tournament Winner

Line Movement (opening, current)

• Rory McIlroy +750, +700

Highest Ticket%

• Rory McIlroy 8.3%
• Patrick Cantlay 6.2%
• Jon Rahm 6.0%

Highest Handle%

• Patrick Cantlay 12.58%
• Rory McIlroy 12.55%
• Jon Rahm 10.9%

Biggest Liabilities

• Cameron Young
• Patrick Cantlay
• Rory McIlroy

 FedExCup Tour Championship – Tournament Winner (including starting handicap)

 Line Movement (opening, current)

• Scottie Scheffler +850, +250
• Jon Rahm +900, +375
• Rory McIlroy +700, +450

Highest Ticket%

• Scottie Scheffler 13.5%
• Rory McIlroy 9.3%
• Jon Rahm 9.1%

Highest Handle%

• Scottie Scheffler 41.8%
• Jon Rahm 9.1%
• Rory McIlroy 4.8%

Biggest Liabilities

• Scottie Scheffler
• Rickie Fowler
• Viktor Hovland

2023 BMW Championship Model Picks, Predictions & Sleepers 

The BetQL PGA model won three out of five recommended bets for the St. Jude Championship last week, cashing Rory McIlroy Top-5 finish (+200), Sungjae Im Top-20 finish (+150), and Tom Kim Top-40 finish (-330), so you'll definitely want to check out the model's value picks for this week's BMW Championship below!

BetQL’s predictive PGA model takes into account overall player performance, recent form, course strengths and weaknesses per player, and sportsbook odds. It has been developed and tested throughout previous seasons and has compiled historical data from 25+ years of golfer and course history. Note: odds presented below come from BetQL’s PGA Model. Star ratings are on a 1-5 scale (1 being least valuable, 5 being most valuable).

After running our PGA Model, these particular finishing position bets are standing out with the most value on the board. 

Top Finishing Position Model Picks For The BMW Championship

Scottie Scheffler To Win (+700, DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

BetQL’s PGA Model is giving Scheffler +259 odds to win this event, making his +700 odds at DraftKings a solid value. He's having an incredible season and is ranked No. 2 in the FedExCup standings right now. Scheffler is also ranked No. 1 in the world via OWGR (Official World Golf Ranking). He's played in 21 events so far this season and has two wins, as well as one runner-up finish. He has 15 top-10 finishes and 19 top-25 finishes in his 21 events. In his last event, he tied for 31st at the FedEx St. Jude Championship with a score of 6-under par.

Jon Rahm Top-5 Finish (+200, DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Our model is giving Rahm -113 odds to finish in the top five, wildly different odds than the +200 odds you can find at DraftKings. He's having a great season so far, sitting at No. 1 in the FedExCup rankings, and is now third on the OWGR. He has four wins at events this season and two runner-up finishes, and he owns 10 top-10 placements. Out of his 18 events played, he has 12 top-25 finishes as well. In his last event at the FedEx St. Jude Championship, he tied for 37th with a score of 5-under par.

Tony Finau Top-10 Finish (+300, DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐

BetQL is giving Finau -124 odds to finish in the top 10, which makes his +300 odds at DraftKings a bargain. The American star has had a great season, sitting at 13th in the FedExCup standings and 19th in the world. He's competed in 22 events this season and has two wins, but no runner-up finishes. He has also placed in the top 10 five times and has finished in the top 25 12 times. In his last event at the FedEx St. Jude Championship, he finished 64th with a score of 2-over par.

Cameron Young Top-20 Finish (-105, DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

The model is giving Young -272 odds to finish in the top 20 and you can get valuable -105 odds over at DraftKings. The American has had an up-and-down season, but he's 46th in the FedExCup standings and ranked 17th in the world. He's competed in 21 events this season and has failed to notch a win, but he does have one runner-up finish. He has placed in the top 10 five times and has finished in the top 25 eight times. In his last event at the FedEx St. Jude Championship, he tied for 31st with a score of 6-under par.