2022 Zozo Championship Best Bets

Our model identified the following values this week

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TOURNAMENT: 2022 Zozo Championship

DATES: October 12 to October 16, 2022

LOCATION: Accordia Golf Narashino Country Club, China

PURSE: $11M | PAR: 70 | YARDAGE: 7,079


Our predictive model takes into account overall player performance, recent form, course strengths and weaknesses per player and sportsbook odds. It has been developed and tested throughout previous PGA seasons and has compiled historical data from 25+ years of golfer and course history. Note: odds presented below were shopped among our sportsbook partners to identify the best values. Content is free for a limited time. All statistics below were found on PGATour.com. Star ratings are on 1-5 scale (1 being least valuable, 5 being most valuable).

Xander Schauffele To Win (+900, Caesars)

BetQL Projection: +669 ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Our model is giving Schauffele +669 odds to win the Zozo Championship, which makes his +900 odds at Caesars a solid value.

Coming off a 4th place finish at the Tour Championship, this is Schauffele’s first PGA Tour event of the season after he posted seven Top 10 finishes, including three wins in 2021-2022. As one of the hottest golfers in the world, he won the Travelers Championship, Genesis Scottish Open and finished T3 at the BMW Championship before finishing 4th at the Tour Championship in four of his last six starts. Schauffele ranked 3rd in Par 3 scoring in this field last season and since there are five Par 3 holes compared to just three Par 5 holes on this course, that certainly works in his favor this week.

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Collin Morikawa Top 5 Finish (+370, FanDuel)

BetQL Projection: +189 ⭐⭐⭐⭐

We’re giving Morikawa +189 odds to finish in the Top 5 and you can get that outcome all the way up at +370 on FanDuel.

He finished last season ranked 3rd in SG: Approach The Green and 3rd in Proximity To Hole, both of which are going to be important factors at this short Par-70 course. Morikawa logged two Top 5 finishes in his last six starts of the 2021-2022 season and profiles very well here. As one of the best ball-strikers on Tour, Morikawa’s game sets up very well in what will be a rainy start to the tournament.

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Viktor Hovland Top 10 Finish (+230, FanDuel)

BetQL Projection: +134 ⭐⭐⭐⭐

The model is giving Hovland +134 odds to log a Top 10 finish. That makes his +230 odds at FanDuel a nice bargain.

Hovland finished T5 at the BMW PGA Championship and then T34 at the Italian Open in his last two starts and logged five Top 10 finishes last season as well. Last season, he ranked 7th in Scoring Average and is aggressive, as his 5th ranking in Going For The Green indicates. He will have plenty of opportunities to show off that aggression this week. He also ranked 5th in Birdie Or Better Conversional Percentage, so I’m taking a shot on him.

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Corey Conners Top 20 Finish (-110, DraftKings)

BetQL Projection: -161 ⭐⭐⭐

DraftKings is projecting Connors to finish in the Top 20, as his -110 odds indicate. However, we’re giving him -161 odds and more of a cushion to finish there.

Conners ranked 5th in SG: Off-The-Tee last year, 6th in Proximity To Hole, 13th in SG: Tee-To-Green and 15th in SG: Approach-The-Green in a solid campaign last season and quietly also ranked 2nd in Greens In Regulation Percentage. He’s one of the best ball-strikers in this field and on Tour in general, so I’m definitely in agreement with the model’s projection.

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Kevin Streelman Top 30 Finish (+100, BetMGM)

BetQL Projection: -202 ⭐⭐⭐⭐

The model is giving Streelman -202 odds to finish in the Top 30 and you can get that outcome at plus money (+100) over at BetMGM.

He finished last season ranked 6th in Driving Accuracy Percentage, 15th in Scrambling and 18th in 3-Putt Avoidance. He’s not a “sexy” play, but he gives you the general feeling of safety with some plus-money upside.

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C.T. Pan Top 40 Finish (+100, DraftKings)

BetQL Projection: -290 ⭐⭐⭐

Speaking of plus-money values, C.T. Pan is another great option this week. DraftKings has him at +100 to finish in the Top 40, but our model has him at -290.

The 30 year old native of Chinese Taipei finished T57 here last year and T59 in 2019, so we’re projecting that the third time will be the charm for a Top 40 finish.

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