Week 9 NFL Player Prop Values
Our model identified the following player prop values to take advantage of
Dan Karpuc - Nov 3, 2022, 1:18pm EDT
Week 9 is here and BetQL is your one-stop source for best bets, live public and sharp betting data, written analysis, exclusive sportsbook offers and all of the game-by-game analytics and data you can dream of. We also have player prop values listed for every single game! Scroll down to check out four of my favorites.
DeAndre Hopkins Over 78.5 Receiving Yards
BetQL Projection: 133 Receiving Yards
Since returning from his suspension, Arizona Cardinals wideout DeAndre Hopkins has put up insane numbers: 10 receptions on 14 targets for 103 yards versus the New Orleans Saints and then 12 receptions on 13 targets for 159 yards against the Minnesota Vikings. BetQL is projecting Hopkins to catch six passes for 133 yards and a touchdown in this matchup against the Seattle Seahawks.
Per ArizonaSports.com, Hopkins was outspoken about how he loves getting featured in the Cardinals’ offense. “For me, it’s whatever I can do to help us win, wherever I need to be at,” Hopkins said. “Obviously Kliff did a good job these past two weeks of trying to move me around and I can tell the game plan is to kind of just get me involved in different places. Obviously, sometimes it’s to get other guys open and I love it.”
Jared Goff Under 249.5 Passing Yards
BetQL Projection: 207 Passing Yards
While Detroit Lions quarterback Jared Goff threw for 321 yards against a porous Miami Dolphins defense last week, he will get the toughest matchup in the league against the Green Bay Packers this week. Green Bay has allowed opposing quarterbacks to throw for only 187.5 yards per game this year, the lowest mark in the NFL.
BetQL is projecting him to amass just 207 passing yards in this matchup, as he also lost TJ Hockinson, one of his main weapons, via trade before the deadline.
Travis Etienne Over 104.5 Rushing + Receiving Yards
BetQL Projection: 118 Rushing + Receiving Yards
Jacksonville Jaguars running back Travis Etienne has gone over this 104.5-yard rushing + receiving yards mark in four consecutive games and BetQL is projecting that streak to continue with 101 rushing yards and 17 receiving yards (118 total). This Las Vegas Raiders defense has allowed 7.43 receptions on 9.43 targets to opposing running backs (both of which are the second-most in the NFL), so the opportunity should be there for him as a pass-catcher.
Etienne has been among the most efficient running backs in the league when given an opportunity, taking 92 carries for 571 yards (6.2 yards per rush) and 17 receptions on 26 targets for 157 yards (9.2 yards per rush) this year.
READ: NFL WEEK 9 PLAYBOOK
David Montgomery Under 50.5 Rushing Yards
BetQL Projection: 34 Rushing Yards
Khalil Herbert has eaten into David Montgomery’s role in the Chicago Bears’ backfield and took 16 carries for 99 yards and a touchdown compared to the 53 yards Montgomery had on 15 carries in their loss to the Dallas Cowboys last week.
BetQL is projecting Montgomery to rack up only 34 rushing yards this week against a Dolphins defense that has allowed just 70.8 rushing yards to opposing running backs this season (2nd-best in NFL). Montgomery has only averaged 3.9 yards per carry and the way to beat Miami is through the air, so the odds are stacked against him, especially since Herbert will eat into his workload and Chicago will likely be playing from behind in a pass-happy game script.
