Week 8 Monday Night Football Player Prop Picks: Giants at Steelers

The Giants face the Steelers on Monday Night Football in Week 8, setting up some valuable player prop bets. Here’s a breakdown of my favorite picks, featuring Najee Harris’ ground game, Jaylen Warren’s versatility, Malik Nabers’ expected return to form and Wan'Dale Robinson's dependable volume. Dive into the stats and insights for each bet!

Steelers RB Najee Harris Over 61.5 Rushing Yards (-113, FanDuel)

The Giants have allowed a horrendous 5.3 yards per rush by opposing running backs this season (2nd-most in NFL) and the Steelers have committed to him as their clear RB1 all year long. He’s put up 106 and then 102 rushing yards in back-to-back weeks and has gone over this number in all five of Pittsburgh’s wins (with 19 and 42 yards in their two losses). The Steelers should be able to establish the run with him and find tons of success on the ground once again. I like both Harris and his backup Jaylen Warren, who I’ll get to next.

Steelers RB Jaylen Warren Over 47.5 Rushing + Receiving Yards (-114, FanDuel)

I think the Steelers are going to go right back to their winning game plan last week when they allowed both Harris and Warren to get plenty of work on the ground. Playing a season-high 51% of the snaps, Warren took 12 carries for 44 yards and caught two passes for 15 yards against a solid Jets defense and gets a much easier matchup here, as I described above. Since he will continue to get third down work, I want to include his receiving yards in this prop in case he rips off a long run or fights for extra yardage on a checkdown.

Giants WR Malik Nabers Over 65.5 Receiving Yards (-113, FanDuel)

Nabers returned from his concussion with a dud against the Eagles last week, catching four of eight passes for 41 yards, his worst performance of his impressive rookie campaign so far. Before that, he recorded 66, 127, 78 and 115 receiving yards and saw 12, 15 and 18 targets in different games. At 2-5 on the year, with an 0-7 Monday Night Football record under his belt and after getting benched late in last week’s loss, all the pressure will be on Daniel Jones in this one. To give his team the best chance to win, the ball will have to be in their best playmaker’s hands, and that’s absolutely Nabers. I expect him to return to form and put on a show in primetime.

Giants WR Wan’Dale Robinson Over 4.5 Receptions (-159, BetRivers)

This is juiced up, but it’s too great of a number to ignore. Robinson has gone over this mark five straight times (seven, 11, six, five and six receptions) and has been targeted by Jones eight or more times in six of his seven starts this year, including double-digit targets three different times. A high volume of passes will go his way and Nabers’ way in this one and if T.J. Watt and Pittsburgh are able to get pressure on Jones (a reasonable assumption), it would allow Robinson to rack up even more receptions on short and underneath routes. I'm not comfortable backing his receiving yards, but I do really like this number on his receptions.

BetMGM Player Prop Data Insights

In Monday night’s highly anticipated matchup between the Steelers and Giants, BetMGM has highlighted some of the most popular player prop bets, showing strong bettor trends on several key players. George Pickens’ longest reception over 24.5 yards (-110) has garnered overwhelming support, with 99% of the tickets riding on the over, reflecting confidence in his big-play ability. Bettors are also backing Najee Harris to surpass 62.5 rushing yards (-120), with expectations that the Steelers will rely on their ground game. Pickens’ total receiving yards over 59.5 (-115) is another popular choice, further signaling belief in his productivity against the Giants' secondary. For the Giants, Wan'Dale Robinson is a player to watch, with the over on his 35.5 receiving yards (-120) seeing notable support. Additionally, Russell Wilson's passing yards over 201.5 (-115) rounds out the popular bets, suggesting fans expect an active night for both offenses.

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