Week 2 NFL Public & Sharp Betting Report

NFL line movement, sharp bets and heavy public favorites for Week 2

Week 1 of the 2022 NFL season is officially in the books, and Week 2 already started with the Chiefs defeating the Chargers on Thursday Night Football. The game was broadcast on Amazon, the first time ever a game was exclusively streamed on a service instead of through Cable TV. I'm not 100% sure how I feel about this, but I certainly hope you have great internet. Either way, with Week 2 upon us, there is no better time to get on the BetQL train and start winning with us today.

Not only do we have our model's best bets and expert articles, but we also have live data tracking what the public is betting, where the sharps are betting and how the lines are moving. When you subscribe to BetQL, you'll gain access to all of that real-time data, as well as the best bets and key trends for every game.

Let's take a look at some of the data from the games below as we give you a sneak preview of one of BetQL's most helpful tools. You can also take advantage of BetQL's 3-day free trial and see all of today's best bets, plus what the model is picking for all sports, including NFL Week 2. Start your free trial today!

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Line Movement: Bengals at Cowboys

The biggest line move of the week goes to the Bengals vs. Cowboys game, and I think anyone who watched Week 1 knows exactly why this is happening. Dak Prescott's injury will keep him out for at least six weeks, and in the meantime, Cooper Rush is scheduled to be the starter for Dallas. This game opened with the Cowboys being a -1 favorite over Cincinnati at home, but that was when everyone was healthy. Now? The Bengals are laying a full touchdown on 'dem boys, which is a massive line swing of eight points. What you have to determine here is if you believe Dak is really worth that much of a change in the line. Eight points is a significant move, and the oddsmakers were telling you they believe Dallas is the better team at home with everyone healthy. Cincinnati should be favored now, but by how much?

What this all means is that books have seen a massive influx of cash coming in on the Bengals. You can clearly see this on our "Line Movement" page of our website, which will show you the difference between the opening line and current number. BetQL's star ratings change immediately when the sportsbooks change theirs, so you can always count on us to have the most updated number.

See our model's best bets for this game below and be sure to check out all line movement data for this week's slate of games!

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Sharp Money: Eagles ATS vs. Vikings

Last week, we had some significant sharp money on the Detroit Lions against the Philadelphia Eagles, and that number covered. This week, we are seeing the same money coming in, but this time on Philadelphia instead of against them. The Eagles play the Minnesota Vikings on Monday Night Football, with both teams coming off of victories in Week 1. As I mentioned, the Eagles beat the Lions but the spread closed at Philly -5.5, which means they failed to cover. Minnesota easily covered theirs against the Green Bay Packers, blowing Aaron Rodgers and company out 23-7. Perhaps Minnesota is getting too much credit here on the road? The Vikings have 48% of the total ATS tickets, but just 11% of the total money. Philadelphia has 52% of tickets, but a massive 89% of the total money.

Therefore, sharp bettors are hammering the Eagles to cover at home. This data is available for every game of the slate for BetQL subscribers, so they always know which bet the high-rollers are backing. Compare this with our best bets for this game below.

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Public Bet: Bengals -7 at Cowboys

We already discussed this game above with the line movement, and really, is it any surprise that everyone is backing the Bengals? Cooper Rush is terrible, and as soon as anyone hears that he is making the start against the defending AFC Champions, you better believe they will be rushing to the ticket counter to place their money down. A whopping 84% of the total ATS tickets for this game are on the Bengals to cover. That means that just 16% of people are on the Cowboys to stick with the Bengals and make this a game.

Betting against the public can be a smart strategy, though, when it creates value on the opposite side. It doesn't always pan out, so you always have to be mindful of how you're factoring in this data, but BetQL will help you make these decisions with our model projections and analysis. Find out if our model is aligned with the public:

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Take advantage of BetQL's 3-day free trial and see all of today's best bets, plus what the model is projecting for NFL Week 1! Start your free trial today!

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