BetMGM's NFL Staff Picks For Week 7

Top NFL Player Props: Week 7

Another NFL season is upon us. Each week, writers and editors for The Roar dig through the NFL odds to find their favorite bets for that particular week. Here are the staff’s favorite plays for Week 7.

Chase Kiddy (Season Record 4-2)

Pick: Cowboys 1H -4

The Lions are off a bye, and lots of bettors and content creators in the space love the chance to get a full seven points with Dan Campbell’s knee-biters off a bye. (Knee-byeters?)

I do see the appeal of a Detroit +7 bet. The Lions are the ultimate backdoor cover team, considering the way they get down and then rally back in garbage time. They’ve been a dog four times so far this season; they’ve covered three of them.

I’m skeptical that this vaunted Dallas defense will allow such fourth-quarter shenanigans, but I’m eliminating it as a possibility altogether by backing the Cowboys on the 1H line. 

When you look at the defenses that the Cowboys have had to face so far this year – Tampa, Cincinnati, New York Giants, Washington, Los Angeles Rams, Philadelphia – it’s almost exclusively top-half units. 

Finally, the offense gets an easier assignment against the Detroit defense, which is ranked 31st in the league by PFF. This is a very soft return spot for Dak Prescott, who should have little trouble marching up and down the field. With no threat of a late comeback in play, you should take the 1H line here with confidence.

Colton Pool (Season Record: 3-3)

Pick: Packers -4.5 (vs. Commanders)

The Packers are bound to bounce back after two consecutive losses.

The Packers lost to the Jets last week, but that team is trending in the right direction. The Commanders are coming off a narrow win over the Bears, which is indicative of how talented this Washington roster really is. 

And it’s about to be worse with Carson Wentz sidelined and Taylor Heinicke set to start against a Packers pass defense that is ninth in pass defense DVOA, per Football Outsiders. Washington is struggling in several other areas as well.

I expect Aaron Rodgers and Aaron Jones to respond to their performances last week and to help the Packers get back on track.

Ryan Hannable (Season Record: 2-3-1)

Pick: Ravens -6.5 (vs. Browns)

Yes, the Ravens are 28th in the league in passing yards allowed per game (267.7 yards), but the Browns are only averaging 213 yards in the air per game (23rd in the league). 

Cleveland relies on its running game, averaging the most rushing yards in the NFL (172), but Baltimore is tied for seventh in rushing defense (103.8 yards allowed per game).

This matchup favors the Ravens.

Sure, they could be looking ahead to next Thursday’s game against Tom Brady and the Buccaneers, but John Harbaugh is too good of a coach to allow that to happen.

Coming off a tough loss to the Giants last week, this is a nice bounce-back spot at home. 

Andrew Doughty (Season Record 2-4)

Pick: Buccaneers at Panthers Under 40.5

The Buccaneers’ offensive line issues won’t be fixed overnight, nor will the Panthers’ widespread offensive issues. An ugly early-window game could be in store when they meet for the first time this season.

Lost in the Panthers’ lost season is a not-awful defense. They’re top 15 in adjusted line yards, allowed only four drives of at least 10 yards to the Los Angeles Rams in Week 7, and are allowing only 5.3 yards per play this season.

This could be an ugly, dink-and-dunk game with only a few total touchdowns. And with big early-week (market-wide) action on the under, the total might close south of 40.

BetMGM editors and authors are sports experts with a wealth of knowledge of the sports industry at all levels. Their coverage includes sports news, previews and predictions, fun facts, and betting.