TNF Sharp Betting Report: 49ers at Seahawks

Thursday Night Football this week promises to be an exciting one. The San Francisco 49ers and Seattle Seahawks are ready to do battle in the NFC West, and it's a pivotal game in the division between the two leaders. BetQL is your one-stop source for best bets, live public and sharp betting data, written analysis, exclusive sportsbook offers and all of the game-by-game analytics and data you can dream of.

Let's take a look at some of the data from the game below as we give you a sneak preview of some of BetQL's most helpful tools. You can also take advantage of BetQL's 3-day free trial and see all of today's best bets, plus what the model is picking for all sports, including NCAAF Bowl Games. Start your free trial today!

Note: data below was found on BetQL 24 hours before kickoff. Numbers will most likely change leading up to game time.

Line Movement: Spread

We have seen the line move a decent amount since the game opened. The 49ers opened as -1 favorites on the road, but we have since seen that number jump a bit. As we stand today, the line is sitting at San Francisco -3, a two-point swing from the opener. People saw 49ers QB Brock Purdy handle himself for the second game in a row, which may have given them more confidence to bet them over a Seahawks team that just lost at home against the Panthers.

What this all means is that books have seen a massive influx of cash coming in on San Francisco. You can clearly see this on our "Line Movement" dashboard, which will show you the difference between the opening line and current number. BetQL's star ratings change immediately when the sportsbooks change theirs, so you can always count on us to have the most updated number.

See our model's best bets for this game below and be sure to check out all line movement data for this week's slate of games!

Sharp Money: Total

This week, the sharps seem to be going with the over on Thursday Night Football. This is definitely a risk from what we have seen so far on Thursday nights, but they could be on to something here. The Seahawks defense has looked like a total disaster as of late, while the 49ers' offense seems to be humming right along with Purdy taking over.

We also know that Geno Smith and this Seattle offense can score 30 on any given night, as they have quite frequently in 2022. A whopping 98% of the money is on the over, but just 71% of the total tickets, a difference of 27% (the "Pro Betting Percentage"). Meanwhile, the under has attracted 29% of the total tickets but just 2% of the money.

Therefore, sharp bettors are hammering the over to hit. This data is available for every game of the slate for BetQL subscribers, so they always know which bet the high-rollers are backing. Compare this with our best bets for this game below.

Public Bet: Moneyline

The public is seemingly going with the 49ers ML, which isn't shocking at all. Most of the time, they always go for the favorites, no matter how much juice they have to pay. This one is a huge -180, which I certainly would NEVER recommend laying, but people love to do it anyways. San Francisco definitely should be the favorites, and I get why people would take them to win, but that is just a crazy amount of juice, and the public oftentimes doesn't know what they are doing. A massive 73% of total moneyline tickets are on the 49ers ML, so no one wants the value with Seattle.

Betting against the public can be a smart strategy, though, when it creates value on the opposite side. It doesn't always pan out, so you always have to be mindful of how you're factoring in this data, but BetQL will help you make these decisions with our model projections and analysis. Find out if our model is aligned with the public: