Titans vs. Colts Preview
Picks and predictions for Titans vs. Colts in Week 7
Titans vs. Colts Preview
The Indianapolis Colts (3-2) visit Nissan Stadium to take on the Tennessee Titans (3-2) on Oct. 23. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EDT in Nashville.
The Titans are betting favorites in Week 7, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-110).
The Colts vs. Titans Over/Under is 42.5 total points for the game.
Colts Preview
We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Colts players for Week 7, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Nyheim Hines has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 10 of his last 11 games (+8.80 Units / 65% ROI).
Matt Ryan has hit the TD Passes Under in 9 of his last 10 away games (+7.75 Units / 45% ROI).
Jonathan Taylor has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 11 of his last 15 games (+5.85 Units / 31% ROI).
Matt Ryan has hit the Completions Under in 8 of his last 10 away games (+5.60 Units / 44% ROI).
Alec Pierce has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 85% ROI).
Colts Betting Trends: ATS, Moneyline, Over/Under
The Indianapolis Colts have hit the Game Total Under in 10 of their last 11 games (+8.90 Units / 74% ROI).
The Indianapolis Colts have hit the Team Total Under in 8 of their last 9 games (+6.80 Units / 67% ROI).
The Indianapolis Colts have hit the 1H Game Total Under in their last 6 away games (+6.00 Units / 90% ROI).
The Indianapolis Colts have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in their last 6 away games (+6.00 Units / 89% ROI).
The Indianapolis Colts have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 5 of their last 7 games (+5.30 Units / 51% ROI).
Colts Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Colts have gone 3-3 (-0.25 Units / -3.88% ROI).
Colts are 3-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.8 Units / 7.8% ROI.
Colts are 1-5 when betting the Over for -4.5 Units / -68.18% ROI.
Colts are 5-1 when betting the Under for +3.9 Units / ROI.
Indianapolis Colts: Keys to the Game vs. the Tennessee Titans
The Colts were 5-1 (.833) vs bottom 10 run defenses last season — tied for 7th-best in NFL; League Avg: .635.
The Colts are 2-6 (.250) when allowing 3 or more sacks since the 2021 season — tied for 9th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .366.
The Colts are 2-10 (.167) when allowing 22 or more points since the 2021 season — tied for 6th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .283.
The Colts are 2-3-1 (.333) when committing 60 or more yards in penalties since the 2021 season — tied for 6th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .450.
Indianapolis Colts Offense: Important Stats for Week 7
The Colts have run successful plays on 27% of rush attempts in the 1st half this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 44%.
The Colts have run successful plays on 13% of rush attempts in the 2nd quarter this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 45%.
The Colts have gone three and out 9 times in the 1st quarter this season — tied for most in NFL.
The Colts ran 21% of their plays in the red zone in the 1st quarter last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 13%.
Indianapolis Colts Defense: Important Stats for Week 7
The Colts defense has allowed a passer rating of just 43.6 on 3rd and short (47 Pass Attempts) since the 2021 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 102.5.
The Colts defense has allowed a passer rating of just 21.9 in close and late situations (25 Pass Attempts) this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 85.0.
The Colts defense has allowed a Completion Pct of just 40% (10 completions/25 attempts) in close and late situations this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 64%.
The Colts defense allowed 12 TD passes in close and late situations last season — most in NFL.
Titans Preview
And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Titans players for Week 7, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Ryan Tannehill has hit the Completions Under in 13 of his last 18 games (+6.55 Units / 27% ROI).
Ryan Tannehill has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 13 of his last 18 games (+6.50 Units / 27% ROI).
Ryan Tannehill has hit the Pass Attempts Under in 12 of his last 17 games (+5.60 Units / 26% ROI).
Geoff Swaim has hit the Receptions Over in his last 4 games at home (+4.90 Units / 121% ROI).
Ryan Tannehill has hit the Passing Yards Under in 12 of his last 18 games (+4.55 Units / 20% ROI).
Titans Betting Trends: ATS, Moneyline, Over/Under
The Tennessee Titans have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 11 of their last 17 games (+8.20 Units / 34% ROI).
The Tennessee Titans have covered the 1H Spread in 13 of their last 18 games (+7.65 Units / 39% ROI).
The Tennessee Titans have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 10 of their last 13 games (+6.80 Units / 47% ROI).
The Tennessee Titans have covered the 2Q Spread in 12 of their last 18 games (+6.70 Units / 34% ROI).
The Tennessee Titans have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 7 of their last 9 games at home (+5.85 Units / 57% ROI).
Titans Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Titans have gone 3-2 (+0.75 Units / 13.51% ROI).
Titans are 3-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.45 Units / 6.92% ROI.
Titans are 2-3 when betting the Over for -1.3 Units / -23.64% ROI.
Titans are 3-2 when betting the Under for +0.8 Units / 14.55% ROI.
Tennessee Titans: Keys to the Game vs. the Indianapolis Colts
The Titans are 2-1 (.667) when rushing less than 25 times since the 2021 season — best in NFL; League Avg: .281.
The Titans are winless (0-2) when allowing more than 3 explosive runs since the 2021 season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .420.
The Titans are 2-1 (.667) when committing less than 60 yards in penalties this season — 10th-best in NFL; League Avg: .535.
The Titans are 9-1 (.900) when the opposing team commits 60 yards or more in penalties. since the 2021 season — best in NFL; League Avg: .541.
Additional Matchup Notes for Indianapolis Colts vs. Tennessee Titans
The Titans have run successful plays on 55.3% of pass attempts on their opponent’s side of the field this season — best in NFL. Colts have allowed successful plays on 57.4% of pass attempts on their own side of the field this season — worst in NFL.
The Titans have scored on 46.2% of their drives in the first quarter this season — tied for third-best in NFL. The Colts defense has allowed scores on 50% of opponent drives in the first quarter this season — tied for fourth-worst in NFL.
The Titans have scored on 6.5% of their drives in the second half this season — worst in NFL. The Colts defense has allowed scores on 27.3% of opponent drives in the second half this season — third-best in NFL.
The Colts have thrown the ball 63.3% of the time this season — highest in NFL. The Titans have allowed 7.9 yards per dropback this season — tied for worst in NFL.
The Colts have run successful plays on just 34.2% of rush attempts this season — worst in NFL. Titans have allowed successful plays on just 35.5% of rush attempts this season — best in NFL.
The Colts have rushed the ball on just 31.2% of plays from scrimmage in the red zone this season — tied for second-lowest in NFL. The Titans have allowed 1 rushing touchdown in the Red Zone this season — tied for fewest in NFL.
Tennessee Titans Offense: Important Stats for Week 7
The Titans have not recorded a TD in 16 drives in the 4th quarter this season — worst Drives Per TD rate in NFL; League Avg: 4.1.
The Titans have run 18% of their plays in their opponent’s territory in the 3rd quarter this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 41%.
The Titans have converted first downs on just 8 of 64 plays (12%) in the 4th quarter this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 28%.
The Titans have run none of their plays in the red zone in the 4th quarter this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 16%.
Tennessee Titans Defense: Important Stats for Week 7
The Titans defense has allowed successful plays on 15% of rush attempts in the 1st quarter this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 43%.
The Titans defense has allowed 27.3 yards per dropback (546 yards/20 attempts) when targeted at a depth of 20+ yards this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 11.5.
The Titans defense has allowed a third down conversion rate of 29% on 3rd and short this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 57%.
The Titans defense has allowed a third down conversion rate of 27% this season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 39%.
BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.