I think the spread in this game may be a bit of an overreaction after Tennessee lost to the New York Giants in Week 1. They outplayed New York for most of the game, but blew it in the end. That is something we have come to expect for Mike Vrabel teams recently, and to be honest, I'm really starting to sour on him as a head coach. Derrick Henry ran for almost four yards per carry but only had 21 carries and didn't break any massive gains down the field. Ryan Tannehill is having to adjust with life without A.J. Brown and Julio Jones. Instead, he has Robert Woods and Nick Westbrook-Ikhine as his top receivers and both had just one catch in Week 1.
The Bills' defensive line will be challenging for the Titans to deal with, to say the least. The Bills sacked Matthew Stafford seven times and forced three interceptions in their first game against the Rams. The good news is the protection was great for Tennessee in Week 1, so if they limit their mistakes, I think they can stick around here.
The Bills were my pick to win the Super Bowl before the season began, and they started that campaign off in convincing fashion with a throttling 31-10 victory over the defending champion Los Angeles Rams. Offensively, the Bills were incredible in Week 1. Josh Allen went 26-for-31 passing and added three touchdowns. Allen also rushed for 56 yards on ten carries and scored another touchdown on the ground. The guy is an absolute monster that puts up Madden type of numbers every week, and you can't go wrong with him.
The one area I saw where Buffalo needs improvement was their pass protection. Granted, this was against Aaron Donald, but they need to do a better job. Allen was sacked twice, and he would have been sacked more if he wasn't a regular Harry Houdini out there scrambling out of the pocket. The run game is also a big question mark that they still can't get right. Devin Singletary got eight carries while Zack Moss received six carries, and James Cook had one carry. Allen still led the team with ten carries, and that just can't keep happening. The Titans allowed a lot of rushing yards to Saquon Barkley last week, so maybe they can get something going here at home.
Despite how much love I have for the Bills in 2022, I think this number is a bit crazy. Tennessee actually beat Buffalo last year, and while I don't think that happens again, laying -10 is just not something I am willing to do. Tennessee has a solid pass rush that can get to Allen, and I think the Titan offensive line can hold their own against the Bills. If Tennessee can win in the trenches, they certainly can cover this number, especially if they can figure out how to do anything in the passing game to get receivers more involved.
Give me the Titans +10.