NFL Simulation Data: Surprising Team Projected To Make Playoffs
The Detroit Lions may be below .500, but they're the real deal
Dan Karpuc - Dec 14, 2022, 1:41pm EST
After simulating every remaining game of the NFL season 10,000 times, the BetQL Model is making the following notable projections heading into Week 15:
New York Giants (7-5-1): Falling Off
The New York Giants have a 27.59% chance to make the playoffs, down from 50.11% before last week’s blowout loss to the Eagles. This new projection has +263 implied odds.
New York will take on the Washington Commanders on the road, Minnesota Vikings on the road, Indianapolis Colts at home and Philadelphia Eagles on the road to close out the regular season.
New York Jets (7-6): Outside Looking In
The New York Jets have a 39.76% chance to make the playoffs, down from 52.97% before last week’s loss to the Buffalo Bills. This new projection has +152 implied odds.
The Jets will host the Detroit Lions this week, host the Jaguars, take on the Seahawks on the road and then travel to face the Dolphins to finish up the regular season.
Detroit Lions (6-7): Playoff-Bound
The Detroit Lions now have a 53.26% chance to make the playoffs, up from just 19.53% before last week’s win over the Minnesota Vikings. You can find +305 odds (24.69% implied probability) on the Lions to make the playoffs right now at BetRivers, and our model is listing that as the best “to make playoffs” futures bet in the market.
Detroit will face the Jets this week before three more winnable matchups against the Carolina Panthers on the road, Chicago Bears at home and Green Bay Packers on the road. Place this bet now to take advantage of the value!
