Saints vs. Cardinals Public & Sharp Betting Report

Line movement, sharp bets and heavy public favorite for TNF

Man, I don't know about you, but these primetime games are getting worse and worse by the week. This week, we get Andy Dalton and the Saints taking on soon-to-be-fired Kliff Kingsbury and the Cardinals. What a great way to spend your Thursday night, much thanks NFL. The funny part is, we'll all still watch because it's NFL. Either way, we can make money on this game as we have every week this season here at BetQL.

Not only do we have our model's best bets and expert articles, but we also have live data tracking what the public is betting, where the sharps are betting, and how the lines are moving. When you subscribe to BetQL, you'll gain access to all of that real-time data, as well as the best bets and key trends for every game.

Let's take a look at some of the data from the games below as we give you a sneak preview of some of BetQL's most helpful tools. You can also take advantage of BetQL's 3-day free trial and see all of today's best bets, plus what the model is picking for all sports, including NFL Week 7. Start your free trial today!

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Line Movement: Total

The biggest line movement for this game is on the total. It opened at 46 but since then it's moved down to 44 roughly 24 hours before kickoff. This was expected and shouldn't be a shock to anyone. Primetime games have been a gold mine for unders this season, and for the rest of the games really. Thursday unders are basically an ATM, just bet it and cash. Offense is way down this season, and betting unders has been the play of the season so far. Plus, how can you bet an over with Andy Dalton and Kliff Kingsbury involved in a football game? Impossible.

What this all means is that books have seen a massive influx of cash coming in on the under. You can clearly see this on our "Line Movement" dashboard, which will show you the difference between the opening line and current number. BetQL's star ratings change immediately when the sportsbooks change theirs, so you can always count on us to have the most updated number.

See our model's best bets for this game below and be sure to check out all line movement data for this week's slate of games!

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Sharp Money: Cardinals ML

The sharp action is coming in on the Cardinals ML to take down the Saints at home. New Orleans has a really bad injury report this week, and it looks like they will be missing a lot of important players on a short week. Arizona can't win at home, so I'm assuming sharps are on this due to that terrible injury report. At just -135, if you like the favorite, you don't have to pay too much juice.

Know that 91% of the money is on the Arizona ML, but just 68% of the total tickets, a difference of 23% (the "Pro Betting Percentage"). Meanwhile, New Orleans has 32% of the total tickets but just 9% of the money.

Therefore, sharp bettors are hammering the Cards to get the win at home. This data is available for every game of the slate for BetQL subscribers, so they always know which bet the high-rollers are backing. Compare this with our best bets for this game below.

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Public Bet: Cardinals -2

The sharp money and the public money are aligned here, so that is always a scary sign. If you follow the sharps, just know, you are also following the public in this case. I'm not shocked the public is on the favorite (they usually are), but sharps agree Arizona is the right side. At the time of this writing, 67% of the total bets against the spread in this game are on the Cardinals -2. Literally nothing is appealing watching this Cardinals team that just lost to the Seahawks and never wins at home. But that injury report for New Orleans is brutal.

Betting against the public can be a smart strategy, though, when it creates value on the opposite side. It doesn't always pan out, so you always have to be mindful of how you're factoring in this data, but BetQL will help you make these decisions with our model projections and analysis. Find out if our model is aligned with the public:

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