NFL Player Prop Targets For Week 6

Week 6 of the 2022 NFL season is here and BetQL is your one-stop source for best bets, live public and sharp betting data, written analysis, exclusive sportsbook offers and all of the game-by-game analytics and data you can dream of. Keep scrolling to see three of my favorite player prop values that you can bet right now at BetMGM completely risk-free up to $1,000 if you sign up for a new account now!

Devin Singletary Over 17.5 Receiving Yards (-110, BetMGM)

Game: Bills -2.5 at Chiefs, O/U 54

The Chiefs have been absolutely horrendous defending opposing running backs in the passing game and have allowed averages of 9.8 receptions on 11.4 targets for 70 yards per game to the position, all of which rank worst in the NFL. 

Enter Devin Singletary, who has played 225 snaps at RB through five games for the Bills, 108 more than Zack Moss and James Cook combined. When asked to (when the game has been close), Singletary has been a productive pass-catcher this year. In Week 3, he caught nine of 11 passes for 78 yards and a touchdown in a loss against the Dolphins and in Week 4, he secured four of five targets for 47 yards in a win over the Ravens. 

Assuming that Buffalo will want to exploit Kansas City’s weakness, I fully expect Singletary to make a huge impact in the passing game and easily eclipse this 17.5 number, especially if they get behind at some point. He should be rested after logging just 54% of the snaps in last week’s blowout win over the Steelers.

Tom Brady Over 274.5 Passing Yards (-125, BetMGM)

Game: Buccaneers -8 at Steelers, O/U 45

Speaking of the Steelers, last week, Pittsburgh’s pass defense got absolutely carved up by Josh Allen and the Bills, who gained 432 yards through the air against them. This Sunday, it doesn’t get much easier against Tom Brady and his stable of pass-catchers, including Mike Evans and Chris Godwin. 

In back-to-back weeks, Brady has been asked to throw the football a ton. Against the Chiefs in Week 4, he went 39-for-52 for 385 yards, three touchdowns and no interceptions and then in Week 5 against the Falcons, he went 35-for-52 for 351 yards, a touchdown and no interceptions. 

Over the past three games, the blitz-happy Steelers have sacked opposing quarterbacks just three times and they hit Allen only one time all game in Week 5. Brady was sacked just once in his last two games combined as his offensive line has done an amazing job protecting him once again. This should be another long day for the Steelers and I expect Brady to easily get over this 274.5-yard mark for the third consecutive game.

Zach Ertz Over 49.5 Receiving Yards (-110, BetMGM)

Game: Cardinals -2.5 at Seahawks, O/U 50.5

I’ve grown accustomed to targeting tight ends against the Cardinals, but this week, I’m targeting a Cardinals tight end against a Seahawks defense that has allowed an NFL-worst 91.2 yards per game to the position. Attracting double-digit targets in three of Arizona’s five games so far, Zach Ertz has been one of the most productive tight ends in the league and has accumulated 75, 45, 47 and 48 receiving yards over his last four outings. Now, he’ll get the easiest matchup in the sport. 

It’s not so often that you see a tight end not named Travis Kelce or Mark Andrews catching eight, six, six and six passes in four straight weeks, but that’s how important Ertz is in this pass-happy Cardinals offense. I think we see plenty of scoring in this contest and there’s real potential for a shootout. Ertz should cruise past this 49.5-yard total with ease.