Patriots vs. Bears Preview
Picks and predictions for Patriots vs. Bears in Week 7
Bears vs. Cardinals Preview
The Chicago Bears (2-4) visit Gillette Stadium to take on the New England Patriots (3-3) on Oct. 24. Kickoff is scheduled for 8:15pm EDT in Foxborough.
The Patriots are betting favorites in Week 7, with the spread sitting at -8 (-110).
The Bears vs. Patriots Over/Under is 39.5 total points for the game.
Bears Preview
We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Bears players for Week 7, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Equanimeous St. Brown has hit the Receptions Under in 7 of his last 8 games (+6.00 Units / 45% ROI).
Cole Kmet has hit the Receptions Over in 7 of his last 8 away games (+5.95 Units / 59% ROI).
Ryan Griffin has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 6 of his last 7 games (+4.80 Units / 60% ROI).
David Montgomery has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 5 of his last 6 away games (+3.85 Units / 56% ROI).
Justin Fields has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 5 of his last 6 away games (+3.80 Units / 56% ROI).
Bears Betting Trends: ATS, Moneyline, Over/Under
The Chicago Bears have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 5 of their last 6 games (+6.85 Units / 108% ROI).
The Chicago Bears have covered the 3Q Spread in 7 of their last 9 games (+6.10 Units / 59% ROI).
The Chicago Bears have hit the 2H Game Total Under in their last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 90% ROI).
The Chicago Bears have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in their last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 84% ROI).
The Chicago Bears have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 5 of their last 6 away games (+3.90 Units / 60% ROI).
Bears Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Bears have gone 2-3 (-1.4 Units / -20.9% ROI).
Bears are 2-4 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.75 Units / -11.28% ROI.
Bears are 2-4 when betting the Over for -2.4 Units / -36.36% ROI.
Bears are 4-2 when betting the Under for +1.8 Units / ROI.
Chicago Bears: Keys to the Game vs. the New England Patriots
The Bears are 1-5 (.167) when allowing 250 or more passing yards since the 2021 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .470.
The Bears are winless (0-9) when losing at least one fumble since the 2021 season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .377.
The Bears are winless (0-8) vs top 10 offenses since the 2021 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .395.
The Bears are winless (0-4) when rushing less than 25 times since the 2021 season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .281.
Chicago Bears Offense: Important Stats for Week 7
The Bears have thrown the ball 35% of the time (141 Pass Attempts/402 plays) this season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 54%.
The Bears have allowed opponents to pressure their QB on 52% of pass attempts this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 22%.
The Bears have allowed a QB Hit on 40% of pass attempts this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 16%.
The Bears have been sacked on 20% of pass attempts (9/44) in the 4th quarter this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 6%.
Chicago Bears Defense: Important Stats for Week 7
The Bears defense has allowed 57 of 125 (46%) first downs through the air (46%) this season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 64%.
The Bears defense has allowed successful plays on 30% of pass attempts in the 4th quarter this season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 46%.
The Bears defense has allowed 227 of 411 (55%) first downs through the air (55%) since the 2021 season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 64%.
The Bears defense has allowed 68 of 125 (54%) first downs on the ground this season — highest in NFL; League Avg: 36%.
Patriots Preview
And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Patriots players for Week 7, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Hunter Henry has hit the Receptions Under in 11 of his last 14 games (+6.35 Units / 32% ROI).
Damien Harris has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 8 of his last 10 games (+5.60 Units / 45% ROI).
Kendrick Bourne has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 10 of his last 14 games (+5.50 Units / 34% ROI).
Kendrick Bourne has hit the Receptions Over in 7 of his last 10 games (+5.35 Units / 45% ROI).
Rhamondre Stevenson has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 10 of his last 14 games (+5.15 Units / 31% ROI).
Patriots Betting Trends: ATS, Moneyline, Over/Under
The New England Patriots have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in their last 10 games (+10.00 Units / 89% ROI).
The New England Patriots have covered the 4Q Spread in 13 of their last 18 games (+7.95 Units / 38% ROI).
The New England Patriots have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 11 of their last 18 games (+7.75 Units / 33% ROI).
The New England Patriots have hit the 2H Moneyline in 12 of their last 18 games (+6.75 Units / 25% ROI).
The New England Patriots have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in their last 6 games (+6.10 Units / 90% ROI).
New England Patriots: Keys to the Game vs. the Chicago Bears
The Patriots are winless (0-1) when not forcing a fumble this season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .426.
The Patriots are undefeated (5-0) when not committing any turnovers since the 2021 season — tied for best in NFL; League Avg: .740.
The Patriots are 1-3 (.250) when the opposing team commits less than 60 yards in penalties this season — tied for 4th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .457.
The Patriots are 13-5 (.722) when forcing 1 or more turnovers since the 2021 season — 10th-best in NFL; League Avg: .599.
New England Patriots Offense: Important Stats for Week 7
The Patriots have run successful plays on 24% of rush attempts in the red zone this season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 46%.
The Patriots have completed passes for 20+ yards on 91 of their 742 total passing attempts (12%) since the 2021 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 9%.
The Patriots have targeted WRs 25% of the time (7 Pass Attempts/28 plays) in the red zone this season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 53%.
The Patriots have completed passes for 20+ yards on 31 of their 207 total passing attempts (15%) this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 9%.
New England Patriots Defense: Important Stats for Week 7
The Patriots defense allowed 7 rushing TDs on 73 carries (10.4 Carries Per TD) in the red zone last season — best Carries Per TD rate in NFL; League Avg: 5.2.
Offenses facing the Patriots have thrown deep balls on 41% of pass attempts (14/34) on 3rd and long this season — highest in NFL; League Avg: 12%.
The Patriots defense allowed a passer rating of just 73.4 (539 Pass Attempts) last season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 90.8.
The Patriots defense has allowed a passer rating of just 74.4 (794 Pass Attempts) since the 2021 season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 90.3.
BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.