Patriots-Bears Player Prop Values For Monday Night Football

Week 7 concludes with a matchup between the Patriots and Bears on Monday Night Football and BetQL is your one-stop source for best bets, live public and sharp betting data, written analysis, exclusive sportsbook offers and all of the game-by-game analytics and data you can dream of. As you’ll see below, our model also identifies the best player prop values for each game after simulating every contest 10,000 times!

Keep scrolling to see three of my favorite player prop values that you can bet right now, but before you do, make sure you redeem our exclusive BetMGM offer below. If you sign up for a new BetMGM account right now, you can bet completely risk-free up to $1,000 on your first bet!

Rhamondre Stevenson Over 63.5 Rushing Yards

BetQL Projection: 90 Rushing Yards

The Bears have allowed 163.0 rushing yards per game this season, the fourth-worst mark in the league. Not only that, but they’ve surrendered a ridiculous 194.0 rushing yards per contest on the road, which is where Monday’s game against the Patriots will be played. Damien Harris is back after a one-week absence and will receive his fair share of touches, but Rhamondre Stevenson has emerged as the RB1 in this offense, especially after scoring two touchdowns last week and amassing 161 rushing yards the week before. 

New England won both of those games (against the Lions in Week 5 and Browns in Week 6) to improve to 3-3 on the year, so I expect Bill Belichick to give Stevenson a hefty workload once again in what should be a game defined by the Patriots controlling the clock. (The Bears won’t do anything offensively, so New England is going to have the ball a ton.) If Stevenson sees 15 carries, which is conservative in this matchup, he should easily get over this number based on the recent form of Chicago’s run defense, New England’s rushing offense and the presumed game script. As you can see above, BetQL is projecting him to rush for 90 yards, making this one of the best Monday Night Football player prop bets.

DeVante Parker Over 28.5 Receiving Yards

BetQL Projection: 55 Receiving Yards

Although the Patriots are a run-first offense, DeVante Parker is their No. 1 wideout right now. He’s logged 315 offensive snaps so far this season (Jakobi Meyers is the only other Patriots WR to log over 162 at 211). Parker has caught long passes of 40, 25 and 29 yards in three of his last four games played and amassed 156, 24 and 64 receiving yards in those three contests, respectively. Guys like Jakobi Meyers, Nelson Agholor, Kendrick Bourne, Hunter Henry and Jonnu Smith could factor into the passing game, but at this 28.5 number, he can easily go over with one catch.

Equanimeous St. Brown Over 13.5 Receiving Yards

BetQL Projection: 25 Receiving Yards

We know that Bill Belichick-led defenses consistently take the primary option from opposing offenses out of the game. That’s bad news for Darnell Mooney, who has that status in this (very bad) passing attack. Since the Bears are underdogs by over a touchdown, they’ll likely have to attempt to pass the football, which should lead to opportunities for guys like Equanimeous St. Brown and Dante Pettis. St. Brown has played 263 offensive snaps this season (second on the Bears behind Mooney and well ahead of Pettis) and our model is projecting him to post 25 receiving yards.