NFL Wild Card Weekend: Top Player Props

NFL Wild Card Weekend is here, and the stakes couldn't be higher. With intense matchups and some of the league's brightest stars on display, it’s the perfect opportunity to dive into player prop betting. From touchdown picks to yardage overs, we’ve analyzed the top value props for each game, highlighting trends, insights, and stats to help you make informed wagers. Here are our favorite player prop picks for this thrilling slate of playoff action.

Ravens TE Mark Andrews Anytime Touchdown vs. Steelers (+150, DraftKings)

After getting off to a slow start, Andrews has established himself as a go-to option for Lamar Jackson in the redzone. He’s scored a touchdown in six straight games, including against the Steelers in Week 16, and has found paydirt at least once in 10 of his last 12 starts with 11 in that span. With Zay Flowers out, I suspect Jackson will look his way even more in the middle of the field as well, where Pittsburgh’s defense has proven to be susceptible. Back in Week 16, Jackson went 9-for-10 passing when delivering the ball in less than 2.5 seconds, racking up 136 yards and two touchdowns against a helpless Pittsburgh secondary. Andrews has thrived in man coverage since turning the corner midway through the year as well, as ESPN’s Mina Kimes explained in the video below.

Broncos WR Marvin Mims Jr. Longest Reception Over 19.5 Receiving Yards vs. Bills (-110, Caesars)

Over the last seven weeks of the regular season, Mims emerged as the big-play threat he was expected to become and not only went over this number in six of those seven games, but posted long catches of 32 yards or more in those contests (37, 37, 93, 11, 53, 51, 32). With two touchdowns in each of the final two weeks of the season, the Broncos are using him in many different, creative ways (43% outside, 38% in the slot, 20% backfield) as Yahoo’s Matt Harmon explained in the video below. As a large road underdog, the Broncos should be throwing the football quite a bit in this one and Mims’ upside should be higher than usual for that reason.

Commanders QB Jayden Daniels Over 31.5 Pass Attempts vs. Buccaneers (-110, BetMGM)

Daniels has hit the pass attempts over in seven straight games (+7.0 units, 84% ROI) heading into his first playoff appearance against Tampa Bay and he went over this 31.5-point number in five of them. The Commanders' franchise QB has broken numerous NFL records this season as well, completing 69.0% of his passes (highest by a rookie in NFL history), with 12 touchdown passes in the 4th quarter or overtime (most by a rookie in NFL history) and led the Commanders to 28.5 points per game within Kliff Kingsbury’s offense (most by a team with a rookie QB in NFL history). With the season on the line, I expect the ball to be in his hands all game long against a Buccaneers defense that has allowed the 2nd-most pass attempts per game to opposing quarterbacks (36.94) this season.

Buccaneers WR Jalen McMillan Over 50.5 Receiving Yards vs. Commanders (-135, BetMGM)

Jalen McMillan has hit the receiving yards over in six straight games (+6.0 units, 86% ROI) heading into the playoffs and has gone over this mark in five straight games as he has emerged as one of Baker Mayfield’s most trusted targets down the stretch. Filling in for the injured Chris Godwin primarily in the slot, McMillan recorded 59, 75, 57, 51 and 74 receiving yards over the last five weeks and has been one of the breakout rookies to watch in the second half of the campaign. I also like McMillan’s anytime touchdown prop, as does Up & Adams’ Kay Adams, who explained how great the rookie has been down the stretch.

Rams WR Cooper Kupp Over 4.5 Receptions vs. Vikings (-114, FanDuel)

I won’t pretend for a single second that Cooper Kupp was even relevant down the stretch for the Rams. He caught zero, three and one ball from Matthew Stafford over his last three games, which was unheard of for a player of his standards. This Vikings defense has allowed the most receptions, 2nd-most targets and 2nd-most receiving yards to opposing wideouts and since Minnesota has blitzed at an NFL-high 38.9% of the time, short-yardage throws will assuredly be a part of the game plan, just like they were back on October 24 when Kupp caught five of eight targets for 51 yards and a touchdown against the Vikings on Thursday Night Football. Minnesota has allowed 12.3 completions per game to receivers out of the slot (on 18.5 attempts), so I love Kupp’s outlook here, even if he’s not at 100% health. Remember, this is a former postseason hero, so we’re going to get 100% effort and hopefully some efficient production from him given the extra rest he received before the postseason and the fact that he’ll be dedicating his play to the victims of the devastating LA wildfires.

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