The Denver Broncos (2-3) visit SoFi Stadium to take on the Los Angeles Chargers (3-2) with the Chargers as betting favorites at -4.5 and the Over/Under set at 45.5 total points. Here's a look at some of the key betting trends and stats you should know heading into this Week 6 Monday Night Football matchup.
Broncos Betting Trends: ATS, Moneyline, Over/Under
Chargers Betting Trends: ATS, Moneyline, Over/Under
Broncos Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Broncos have gone 1-4 (-3.4 Units / -61.82% ROI).
Chargers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Chargers have gone 4-1 (+2.9 Units / 52.73% ROI).
Denver Broncos: Keys to the Game vs. the Los Angeles Chargers
The Broncos are winless (0-3) when the opposing team commits less than 60 yards in penalties this season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .471.
The Broncos are winless (0-8) when allowing 22 or more points since the 2021 season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .274.
The Broncos are 1-3 (.250) since Week 2 — tied for 3rd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .500.
The Broncos are 5-10 (.333) when allowing 10 or more rushes of four or more yards since the 2021 season — tied for 8th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .416.
Los Angeles Chargers: Keys to the Game vs. the Denver Broncos
The Chargers are 3-4 (.429) when not forcing a turnover since the 2021 season — tied for 3rd-best in NFL; League Avg: .255.
The Chargers are 3-1 (.750) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities this season — tied for 6th-best in NFL; League Avg: .551.
The Chargers are undefeated (7-0) when not committing any turnovers since the 2021 season — tied for best in NFL; League Avg: .740.
The Chargers are 6-2 (.750) when rushing for more than 100 yards since the 2021 season — tied for 7th-best in NFL; League Avg: .611.
Additional Matchup Notes for Denver Broncos vs. Los Angeles Chargers
Chargers RBs have averaged 8.2 yards after the catch since the 2021 season — fifth-best in NFL. The Broncos have allowed 8.8 yards after catch per reception to RBs since the 2021 season — second-worst in NFL.
Broncos RBs have averaged 2.4 yards after contact per carry this season — fourth-best in NFL. The Chargers have allowed 2.2 yards after contact per carry this season — third-worst in NFL.
Broncos RBs have averaged 2.4 yards after contact per carry this season — fourth-best in NFL. The Chargers have allowed 2.4 yards after contact per carry to RBs this season — third-worst in NFL.
Broncos RBs have averaged 2.3 yards after contact per carry since the 2021 season — fourth-best in NFL. The Chargers have allowed 2.3 yards after contact per carry to RBs since the 2021 season — tied for worst in NFL.
Denver Broncos Offense: Important Stats for Week 6
The Broncos have not recorded a TD in 16 drives in the 3rd quarter this season — tied for worst Drives Per TD rate in NFL; League Avg: 5.6.
The Broncos have committed 8 turnovers in the red zone since the 2021 season — most in NFL.
The Broncos did not record a TD in 14 drives in Week 5 — tied for worst Drives Per TD rate in NFL; League Avg: 5.1.
The Broncos have scored 2.4 points per Red Zone drive this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 4.2.
Los Angeles Chargers Offense: Important Stats for Week 6
The Chargers had a third down conversion rate of 35% on third and 10+ yards to go last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 20%.
The Chargers averaged 121.6 yards from scrimmage per game (2,067 yards / 17 games) in the 4th quarter last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 94.8.
The Chargers converted first downs on 114 of 333 plays (34%) in the 4th quarter last season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 29%.
The Chargers ran successful plays on 53% of pass attempts in the 1st half last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 47%.
Denver Broncos Defense: Important Stats for Week 6
The Broncos defense has allowed an average of 2.5 yards after contact per carry (114 carries) this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 1.5.
The Broncos defense has allowed successful plays on 32% of plays in the 2nd half this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 43%.
The Broncos’ opponents have averaged 56.7 Passing Attempts per TD (170 Pass Attempts/3 Passing TDs) this season — 2nd-best Pass Attempts Per TD rate in NFL; League Avg: 25.3.
The Broncos defense has allowed an average of 2.9 yards after contact per carry (96 carries) to RBs this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 1.6.
Los Angeles Chargers Defense: Important Stats for Week 6
The Chargers defense allowed a third down conversion rate of 57% in the 2nd half last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 40%.
The Chargers defense allowed a third down conversion rate of 49% last season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 41%.
The Chargers defense has allowed 24 of 94 (26%) first downs on the ground this season — 2nd-lowest in NFL; League Avg: 36%.
The Chargers defense has allowed scores on 64% of opponent drives in the 3rd quarter this season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: 32%.
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