NFL Playoffs: Saturday's Top Player Props For Jaguars-Chiefs & Giants-Eagles
See which NFL player prop bets we're targeting in the divisional round Saturday!
NFL Player Prop Bets
The 2023 NFL playoffs continue Saturday with two divisional-round games: Jaguars at Chiefs and Giants at Eagles. To help you make the best bets this weekend, the BetQL editors have picked a few of their favorite player props for Saturday below using key trends and data from the BetQL NFL model.
BetQL subscribers can see more betting trends and all of our NFL best bets, including player props, with star ratings for every game. Take advantage of BetQL's free trial and see all of this week's best NFL bets!
NFL Player Prop Bets
The 2023 NFL playoffs continue Saturday with two divisional-round games: Jaguars at Chiefs and Giants at Eagles. To help you make the best bets this weekend, the BetQL editors have picked a few of their favorite player props for Saturday below using key trends and data from the BetQL NFL model.
BetQL subscribers can see more betting trends and all of our NFL best bets, including player props, with star ratings for every game. Take advantage of BetQL's free trial and see all of this week's best NFL bets!
Kate Constable: Jerick McKinnon Under 24.5 Rushing Yards (-114 at FanDuel)
This number is interesting because McKinnon has only gone over it three times this season. In all three of those games, he’s rushed for over 50 yards. He also has eight games where he has recorded single-digit rushing yards. So he’s either blowing past this number or staying way under it. The Jaguars run defense isn’t anything spectacular, but it does rank in the top 10, allowing just 4.2 yards per carry. It also just held Austin Ekeler and the Chargers to just 67 rushing yards. Plus, the Chiefs have so many weapons on offense, I’m not sure McKinnon gets enough attempts to go over this mark.
Lucy Burdge: Trevor Lawrence Over 249.5 Passing Yds (-115, BetMGM)
Lawrence is coming off not only a 288-yard passing performance against the Chargers in his first playoff win, but a celebratory trip to Waffle House as well. And when he faced Kansas City this season, he had 259 passing yards, so I think Lawrence can go over this number against the Chiefs once again.
Matt Horner: Travis Etienne Over 17.5 receiving yards (-111, Caesars)
The Jags running back will be facing a Chiefs defense that is ranked 28th in DVOA on passes to RBs. Not only that, but Etienne was out there on 85% of passing snaps and 86% of total snaps, according to Pro Football Focus, so he should be in position to get plenty of targets Saturday. The Chiefs also rank 20th DVOA against the pass in general, so I like Etienne to get over this low number.
Dan Karpuc: Daniel Jones Over 44.5 Rushing Yards (-113, BetRivers)
It’s clear that Brian Daboll is now comfortable using Jones in a Josh Allen-esque role. In New York’s 31-24 wild-card win over the Vikings, Jones carried the ball 17 times for 78 yards. Plus, he went over this 44.5-yard number six times in the regular season, including separate 91- and 107-yard outings, which highlights his upside. Assuming that he will be under lots of pressure from Philadelphia’s front seven, I expect Jones to rack up a lot of rushing yards scrambling out of the pocket. After Jones racked up 708 rushing yards with seven scores on the ground in the regular season, I expect Daboll and his staff to also call a number of designed runs for his mobile quarterback. I shopped around for the best number and this is it!
Brad Pinkerton: Miles Sanders Over 65.5 rushing yards (-115, PointsBet)
There are several reasons to like Miles Sanders this weekend. First, I think the Eagles' already run-heavy offense will need to lean on Sanders even more in order to protect Jalen Hurts (as much as needed) as his shoulder injury continues to heal. Second, Sanders is generally above this number, averaging 74.6 rushing yards per game this season. Plus, the Giants have allowed the fourth-most rushing yards to RBs this season. It's also worth noting that New York allowed the fewest receptions and second-fewest receiving yards to RBs, so I think the bulk of Sanders' work will come on the ground and he shouldn't lose too much work to the Eagles' other pass-catching RBs. And for all the reasons above, I'll also look at a Sanders anytime TD (+110 on PointsBet) considering the Giants have allowed 13 rushing scores to RBs, tied for 10th-most.
MORE NFL: SATURDAY’S EXPERT PICKS | SUNDAY’S EXPERT PICKS
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