NFL Week 15 wraps up with the Rams visiting the Packers on Monday Night Football! To help you make the best bets tonight, I picked a few of my favorite MNF bets below using key trends and the BetQL NFL model's data. BetQL subscribers get more NFL betting trends and all of our best bets, including player props, with star ratings for every pick.
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It’s going to be cold and miserable at Lambeau Field and in his first action with the Rams, Baker Mayfield had an average depth of target (aDOT) of 8.94 yards. Without their top playmakers, Mayfield will have to throw to wide receivers like Ben Skowronek, Tutu Atwell and Van Jefferson while Tyler Higbee should get some targets at tight end, as should Malcolm Brown, Kyren Williams and Cam Akers out of the backfield. Based on the elements and general lack of big-play threats, the under is clearly the best option.
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Aaron Jones has stayed under 60.5 rushing yards in six of his last eight games and in those six contests, he’s averaged just 29.3 yards on the ground. With Green Bay’s position in the standings, Jones has seen his workload decreased in recent weeks as well, as he’s seen just 33 carries over his last three weeks in which he’s gone well under this mark. Last week, A.J. Dillon got 68% of the snaps at running back (45) while Jones got just 38% (25) and Patrick Taylor got in the mix with 9% (6). Give me the under all day.
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Rams wideout Tutu Atwell caught five passes on nine targets for 50 yards in the miraculous win over the Raiders in Week 14, all of which were career-highs. He also played a career-high 61% of the snaps (39), which makes him even more appealing this week since he most likely earned more playing time in this one. As arguably the most dynamic playmaker the Rams have, I expect him to get an opportunity to prove himself in the closing weeks, starting with this matchup in Green Bay.
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Take advantage of BetQL's free trial and see all of this week's best NFL bets, including player props, plus what the model is projecting for every NBA, NHL, college football and college basketball game! Start your free trial today!