The Week 18 NFL games will be heavy with playoff implications, and to help you make the best bets this weekend, the BetQL editors have picked a few of their favorite Sunday player prop bets below using key trends and data from the BetQL NFL model.
One trend to note is that the BetQL NFL model is finishing the regular season strong, going 34-18 (66%) on all NFL picks rated ⭐⭐ and higher last weekend for a total return of $608 on $100 bets! BetQL subscribers can see more betting trends and all of our best bets, including player props, with star ratings for every game.
Take advantage of BetQL's free trial and see all of this week's best NFL bets, plus what the model is projecting for every NBA, NHL, college football and college basketball game! Start your free trial today!
The Week 18 NFL games will be heavy with playoff implications, and to help you make the best bets this weekend, the BetQL editors have picked a few of their favorite Sunday player prop bets below using key trends and data from the BetQL NFL model.
One trend to note is that the BetQL NFL model is finishing the regular season strong, going 34-18 (66%) on all NFL picks rated ⭐⭐ and higher last weekend for a total return of $608 on $100 bets! BetQL subscribers can see more betting trends and all of our best bets, including player props, with star ratings for every game.
Take advantage of BetQL's free trial and see all of this week's best NFL bets, plus what the model is projecting for every NBA, NHL, college football and college basketball game! Start your free trial today!
Dan Karpuc: Packers RB Aaron Jones Over 59.5 Rushing Yards (-110, FanDuel)
Coming off a 14-rush, 111-yard performance against the Vikings last week, Aaron Jones has sky-high upside against a Lions defense that has allowed 520 rushing yards over the last two weeks. You read that correctly: 520. In this must-win game with a playoff berth on the line, I expect both Jones and AJ Dillon to be utilized heavily on the ground while attacking the major weakness of Detroit’s defense right now. Even though the Green Bay running backs will split carries, both guys should have strong performances on Sunday Night Football.
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Matt Horner: Lions RB Jamal Williams Anytime TD (+114, Caesars)
Not only have the Lions relied on Williams around the goal line all season, they have done so to the point he is one TD shy of tying Barry Sanders for the Lions' single-season record. Green Bay also stinks against the run, and you know Detroit is going to try to get Williams to at least tie, if not break, the record if possible. I’d also sprinkle 2+ TDs for Williams for +575 at Caesars.
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Brad Pinkerton: Commanders WRs McLaurin (+210), Dotson (+290) Anytime TDs (FanDuel)
Am I the only one who thinks Washington (+7) will beat Dallas outright Sunday? Sure, the Cowboys have an outside shot at the NFC East crown, but that requires the Eagles (-14 vs. Giants) to lose, and they could even grab the No. 1-overall seed, but that requires both the Eagles and 49ers (-14 vs. Cardinals) to lose. I could see Dallas starting its regulars before resting them after halftime once either of those other games is in hand for Philly or S.F. All this is to say that I think the Commanders could put some points on the board against the Cowboys' backups, and Dallas has allowed a league-high 21 TD catches to WRs this season anyway. Give me at least one, if not both, of Terry McLaurin and Jahan Dotson to score against Dallas Sunday.
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Kate Constable: Steelers RB Najee Harris Over 73.5 Rushing Yards (-113, BetRivers)
Najee Harris has only gone over this number in three of his last six games, but in those games, he’s easily surpassed it. He has also had at least 22 carries in two of his last three games. I would expect him to have quite a few attempts again on Sunday because the Browns defense isn’t great against the run. They’re giving up the eighth-most yards per carry and total rushing yards, and the fifth-most rushing attempts of 10-plus yards, so Harris could have a big day here.
Lucy Burdge: Steelers QB Kenny Pickett Over 195.5 Passing Yards (-114, BetRivers)
Pickett hit the over on this passing yards total against the Raiders on Christmas Eve with 244 and I think he can do it again here against the Browns to close out the season. Ben Roethlisberger even recently said he underestimated Pickett this season, so I think the rookie will have a big game against Cleveland and hit the over on passing yards here.
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MORE NFL: THIS WEEK’S BETTING GUIDE | STAFF PICKS
Take advantage of BetQL's free trial and see all of this week's best NFL bets, including player props, plus what the model is projecting for every NBA, NHL, college football and college basketball game! Start your free trial today!