BetQL Staff NFL Picks For Week 7
Find out which NFL bets we're targeting for Week 7
Dan Karpuc: Jets +1.5 at Broncos
This feels weird to write, but I'm buying the Jets after they beat the Steelers on the road, Dolphins at home and Packers on the road in consecutive weeks. This defense has established itself as one of the best in the sport and there are a number of playmakers on the offensive side of the ball (Elijah Moore, Garrett Wilson, Breece Hall in particular) that allow Zach Wilson to play within the game plan and not stretch. Meanwhile, the "Let Russ Cook" movement in Denver has been a complete disaster and it's clear that first-year Broncos head coach Nathaniel Hackett has no idea what he's doing. Denver has lost three consecutive games outright (at the Raiders, against the Colts and at the Chargers) and they've failed to do much of anything on the offensive end. This should be a low-scoring, hard-fought matchup, but ultimately, the Jets are the better overall team right now in my opinion. I'd be lying if I told you that'd be the case before the season started!
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Brad Pinkerton: Giants +3 at Jaguars
This feels like a trap, but also feels like a line that could move in favor of the Giants by kickoff, so I consider Giants +3 excellent value. Not only are the Giants 5-1 SU on the season, they are 5-1 ATS, including 4-0 ATS as underdogs, which also makes their +140 moneyline attractive. To go one step further, the G-Men have actually won all four games outright when they've been the underdog. Meanwhile, Jacksonville is 2-4 ATS after failing to cover and losing outright in three straight, including as seven-point favorites at home against Houston. Not sure how oddsmakers arrived at Giants +3, but I'll take it with a little on the NYG moneyline as well.
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