BetQL Model Crushed 5-Star Bets In Week 1
Take a look at our record for Week 1 of the 2022 season
Dan Karpuc - Sep 13, 2022, 9:37am EDT
BetQL’s NFL Model went 4-1 (80%) on ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐ bets in Week 1!
Our star ratings show the difference between the sportsbook lines and our model’s projections. The bigger the difference, the higher the star rating. Therefore, we hit 80% of the most mispriced lines of the week, according to our model. Let’s take a look at two games below and see how BetQL’s projections led to a few easy wins.
PATRIOTS AT DOLPHINS UNDER 46.5, UNDER 23.5 1H
FINAL SCORE: 20-7 DOLPHINS WIN
1ST HALF SCORE: 17-0 DOLPHINS WIN
Heading into this AFC East battle, it was clear that the model was not expecting a ton of points to be scored, as it projected 44 total points and 21.5 first-half total points. The results: a 17-0 Dolphins lead at halftime and 20-7 Dolphins victory: two easy wins.
The Patriots amassed only 271 total yards and couldn’t get much going offensively whatsoever while the Dolphins only accumulated 307 total yards. It was clear that Miami had more offensive potential with Tyreek Hill and Jaylen Waddle both producing for Tua Tagovailoa, but as a whole, this was a defensive-first contest in scorching-hot Miami weather.
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TITANS -3 VS. GIANTS (1H)
1ST HALF SCORE: 13-0 TITANS WIN
While the Giants mounted a miraculous and gutsy second-half comeback, the model was all over this first-half line, as it projected Tennessee to be up by 5.5 points. The Titans jogged into the locker room at halftime with a 13-0 advantage as the Giants delivered a goose egg in Brian Daboll’s first half as a head coach.
Our model takes dozens of data points into account and found an edge with the three examples above, but what does it like in Week 3? Grab a 3-Day Free Trial below and find out!
