Betting Impact of Texans WR Stefon Diggs’ Season-Ending Injury

The Houston Texans suffered a major blow on Sunday with Stefon Diggs' season-ending ACL injury. As the Texans’ top playmaker and one of the league’s most consistent receivers, Diggs’ absence significantly shifts how bettors should approach point spreads, totals and player props for Houston games.

Impact on Point Spreads and Totals

With Diggs, the Texans offense could stretch the field, keeping defenses on their heels and opening up room for the ground game. However, with Diggs joining fellow top receiver Nico Collins on the sidelines, the Texans are now without two primary deep threats and their most reliable pass-catchers. This absence could lower explosive play potential and limit Houston’s scoring opportunities, prompting oddsmakers to set more conservative totals for Texans games, especially if the team leans into a more run-heavy or short-pass game plan.

The impact of Diggs’ absence will be felt as the Texans take the field at MetLife Stadium on Thursday night. Houston opened as a 1-point underdog against the Jets, but with money coming in on New York, the line has shifted to make Houston a 2.5-point underdog.

Props Market Shifts

Player props will see immediate shifts as well. Without Diggs and Collins, the Texans’ other receivers should see an uptick in targets, potentially creating value for WR Tank Dell and TE Dalton Schultz.

Dell’s receiving prop of 57.5 yards (-115, BetMGM) and his receptions prop of 4.5 (-120, BetMGM) on Thursday are in line with previous weeks, but as Houston's new WR1, these numbers may rise soon. Running back Joe Mixon is also set to command a greater workload in Diggs’ absence. Mixon’s rushing yard prop has increased steadily each week since his return from injury in Week 6, moving from 64.5 yards in Week 7 to 78.5 in Week 8. After back-to-back 100+ yard games, his prop has now shifted to 80.5 yards (-120, BetMGM) for Thursday’s game.

Betting the Texans Moving Forward

Despite these injuries, the Texans remain heavy favorites (-1200, BetMGM) to win the AFC South after sweeping the Colts this season. Interestingly, their win total has also increased from Week 8 to Week 9, rising from 10.5 to 11.5. Their Super Bowl odds have held steady around +1400 at BetMGM, signaling confidence that Houston can overcome these losses and maintain a strong playoff push.

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