Surprising RB Is Biggest BetMGM Liability To Lead NFL In 2024 Rushing Yards

The 2024 NFL season kicks off soon and the battle for the most rushing yards promises to be as intense as ever. In this article, we'll delve into the key statistics and betting data to identify the leading contenders. We'll examine the highest ticket percentage, highest handle percentage, biggest liability, and the current odds leader, using data from our friends at BetMGM. Furthermore, we'll reveal simulation data after running every game 10,000 times through BetQL's advanced NFL model. Whether you’re a bettor, a fantasy football enthusiast, or simply a devoted NFL fan, this analysis will provide valuable insights into the running backs poised to dominate the ground game in 2024.

Most 2024 Rushing Yards - BetMGM Data & BetQL Sims

As the 2024 NFL season begins, the battle for the most rushing yards is one to watch closely. Here’s a summary of the key data points:

• Highest Ticket%: Zamir White of the Las Vegas Raiders leads with 27.0% of tickets. His odds opened at +3500 and have moved to +3000, with BetQL's simulation projecting him to rush for 678 yards. White is a name that some may have not heard of, but he was a fourth-round pick out of Georgia in 2022. He's projected to be the lead back in Las Vegas with the departure of Josh Jacobs, and with no proven QBs on the roster, could get a ton of usage in 2024.
• Highest Handle%: Zamir White also commands the highest handle percentage at 43.5%. His odds opened at +3500 and currently sit at +3000. He's currently a sharp play, as 43.5% of the handle is on 27% of the tickets at BetMGM. That means that some of those wagers are worth a decent amount of money.
• Biggest Liability: Zamir White is the biggest liability, maintaining odds from +3500 to +3000. When nearly half of your total handle is on one guy, especially when he is 35/1 or 30/1, it makes sense that he would be the biggest liability. Unfortunately, it is VERY rare that the biggest liability of the sportsbook actually wins.
• Odds Leader: Christian McCaffrey of the San Francisco 49ers is the odds leader, with consistent +300 odds and a simulation projection of 1,379 yards. McCaffery has been the most versatile RB in the NFL for many years, able to get the job done on the ground and through the air. He led the league last season in rushing yards and was the only back who amassed over 1,200 yards.

This analysis highlights the intriguing dynamics in the race for the most rushing yards, with Christian McCaffrey leading in odds and Zamir White attracting significant betting interest.

Best Bet: Christian McCaffrey (+300)

Previous Winners

Here's a list of NFL players with the most rushing yards in each of the last 10 years:

• 2023: Christian McCaffrey (San Francisco 49ers) - 1,459 yards
• 2022: Josh Jacobs (Las Vegas Raiders) - 1,653 yards
• 2021: Jonathan Taylor (Indianapolis Colts) - 1,811 yards
• 2020: Derrick Henry (Tennessee Titans) - 2,027 yards
• 2019: Derrick Henry (Tennessee Titans) - 1,540 yards
• 2018: Ezekiel Elliott (Dallas Cowboys) - 1,434 yards
• 2017: Kareem Hunt (Kansas City Chiefs) - 1,327 yards
• 2016: Ezekiel Elliott (Dallas Cowboys) - 1,631 yards
• 2015: Adrian Peterson (Minnesota Vikings) - 1,485 yards
• 2014: DeMarco Murray (Dallas Cowboys) - 1,845 yards

These players led the league in rushing yards during their respective NFL seasons over the past decade.