Los Angeles Rams vsSan Francisco 49ers Prediction
Expect a close game with the Los Angeles Rams winning 50% of simulations, and the San Francisco 49ers 50% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. The Los Angeles Rams commit fewer turnovers in 25% of simulations and they go on to win 84% when they take care of the ball. The San Francisco 49ers wins 62% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Jared Goff is averaging 327 passing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average passing yards and at least a 2 to 1 TD to INT ratio (38% chance) then he helps his team win 45%. Brandon Aiyuk is averaging 69 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (42% chance) then he helps his team win 66%.
San Francisco 49ers Preview
The 49ers are trending in the wrong direction following two subpar displays, and there are only minor things that resemble the team that reached the Super Bowl last season under the leadership of Jimmy Garoppolo and a stout defensive unit. San Francisco stumbled to a 43-17 loss against the Miami Dolphins in Week 5 of the 2020 NFL Regular Season, falling to a 2-3 record that has them at the bottom of the NFC West standings. To make things even more complicated for San Francisco, they have “only” scored 124 points this season -- the lowest tally in the Division -- and benched Garoppolo in Week 5 due to a struggling performance and noticeable signs of him not being 100 percent ready to play, which might lead to him not starting this game. The 49ers relied on their defense to make things happen last year, but that unit has also been weakened due to several important losses, highlighted by Nick Bosa’s season-ending injury last month. San Francisco has gone 2-3-0 ATS as well, and it seems as if nothing has gone right for them in recent weeks. The fact that they’ve been struggling so much on both offense and defense doesn’t bode well for their chances of turning things around in Week 6.
Los Angeles Rams Preview
The Rams have looked like one of the best teams in the NFL this season and the numbers seem to back them up -- the Week 5 win over the Washington Football Team has Los Angeles in second place of the NFC West with a 4-1 record and, if that wasn’t enough, they’ve also gone 2-1-0 on the road and 4-0-0 against NFC opponents in 2020, setting themselves up for success in this matchup against a depleted 49ers squad. Los Angeles has received praise on offense due to the impressive play of Jared Goff, who is currently leading the NFL in passing yards per attempt among regular starters (9.0) while racking up 1,372 yards and completing more than 71 percent of his passes (71.7%), but the defense also deserves praise for what they’ve done. The Rams have allowed only 304.2 yards per game, the fourth-best mark in the NFL, and no team in the NFC has given up fewer points than the Rams so far in 2020 (90). Los Angeles has the look of a potential playoff sleeper based on how they have started the season and, despite going 3-2-0 ATS, they have a great chance of being a team bettors can trust in Week 6 of the 2020 NFL regular season.
Full Game Prediction
The 49ers are struggling on both sides of the ball and can’t seem to stop opposing offenses to save their lives. The Rams have not been a dominant offensive team despite the strong play of Jared Goff, but they have a clear edge on defense based on what they’ve done this year. That should be enough to have them as clear-cut favorites ahead of this Week 6 matchup in the 2020 NFL regular season.