Houston Texans vs

New England Patriots Prediction

In a matchup between the Houston Texans and the New England Patriots, the odds are heavily favoring the Texans with a 72.0% chance of coming out on top. Joe Mixon is expected to have a strong game, projected for 66.0 rushing yards and with a 38.0% chance of scoring at least one rushing touchdown. However, in the 28.0% of simulations where the Patriots manage to pull off a victory, Jacoby Brissett steps up with an average of 2.18 touchdown passes and just 0.5 interceptions. Rhamondre Stevenson's performance is also crucial for the Patriots, averaging 70.0 rushing yards and 0.29 rushing touchdowns in wins compared to just 48.0 yards and 0.12 TDs in losses.

The key factor that may influence the outcome of this game is the turnover battle. The Houston Texans hold a significant advantage here, with a 72.0% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. This positive turnover margin plays a pivotal role in their success, as they win 79.0% of their games when they come out on top in this category. With this statistic in mind, it will be crucial for the Patriots to protect possession and limit mistakes if they hope to overcome the favored Texans.

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