Los Angeles Chargers vs

Denver Broncos Prediction

Expect a close game with the Los Angeles Chargers winning 49% of simulations, and the Denver Broncos 51% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. The Los Angeles Chargers commit fewer turnovers in 38% of simulations and they go on to win 78% when they take care of the ball. The Denver Broncos wins 70% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Justin Herbert is averaging 267 passing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average passing yards and at least a 2 to 1 TD to INT ratio (45% chance) then he helps his team win 55%. Javonte Williams is averaging 110 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (43% chance) then he helps his team win 72%.