Kansas City Chiefs vsBaltimore Ravens Prediction
Expect a close game with the Kansas City Chiefs winning 41% of simulations, and the Baltimore Ravens 58% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. The Kansas City Chiefs commit fewer turnovers in 18% of simulations and they go on to win 71% when they take care of the ball. The Baltimore Ravens wins 65% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Patrick Mahomes is averaging 322 passing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average passing yards and at least a 2 to 1 TD to INT ratio (45% chance) then he helps his team win 45%. Lamar Jackson is averaging 256 passing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average passing yards and at least a 2 to 1 TD to INT ratio (42% chance) then he helps his team win 52%.