New England Patriots vsAtlanta Falcons Prediction
The New England Patriots are a solid favorite with a 73% chance to beat the Atlanta Falcons. Damien Harris is projected for 58 rushing yards and a 40% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 27% of simulations where Atlanta Falcons wins, Matt Ryan averages 2.5 TD passes vs 0.8 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 1.52 TDs to 1.4 interceptions. Mike Davis averages 78 rushing yards and 0.92 rushing TDs when Atlanta Falcons wins and 27 yards and 0.25 TDs in losses. The New England Patriots has a 83% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 81% of the time.