UFC 304 Best Bets

UFC 304 Odds, Picks, Predictions

Heading back to the UK, the UFC has a massive PPV on the horizon this weekend in Manchester, England. UFC 304 goes down on Saturday night and 14 incredible fights make up the card! Anytime the UFC heads to England fans are treated to a great show featuring some of the UK's best fighters. Along with plenty of European fighting fan-favorites, this card also sees a score being settled for welterweight gold. 

Leon Edwards looks to defend the belt in his hometown as Belal Muhammad challenges him for the title. A rematch long in the making, this fight is only the cherry on top of a stacked card. Typically airing during the day, this unique UK PPV card airs during primetime on Saturday night leaving you plenty of time to get all of those bets in! Let’s talk BEST BETS for UFC 304 on ESPN+ & PPV! (odds accurate as of 7/25 on BetMGM)

Manel Kape (19-6) vs Muhammad Mokaev (12-0) 

Kape (+130) vs. Mokaev (-170), 7pm ET 

The theme of the night is oddsmakers getting the odds wrong (per usual) and Manel Kape being an underdog against Muhammad Mokaev is example number one. Kape has been a dominant force since entering the UFC octagon and rides a 4-fight win streak coming into this matchup. Due to some inactivity outside of his control, oddsmakers see Kape at a disadvantage going against the undefeated Mokaev. Putting inactivity aside as it will likely be a non-factor and just looking at this fight from a skills perspective, Kape is going to be a huge problem for Mokaev. 

Not only is Kape the most experienced & skilled fighter Mokaev has ever faced, but he is also the most well rounded opponent too. Mokaev relies heavily on his grappling attacks to nullify his opponents offense. Kape is a fantastic grappler in his own respect and actually plans to stifle the takedowns of Mokaev. On the feet, it is no secret the advantage Kape possesses over Mokaev. When Mokaev fails to take or keep Kape down, he will begin to panic as his gas tank starts to empty. Kape will find a late finish or pull away on the scorecards and at underdog odds, this value can’t be ignored.

BEST BET: Manel Kape ML @ +130

Jake Hadley (10-3) vs Coalan Loughran (9-1) 

Hadley (+180) vs. Loughran (-225), 8:30pm ET 

Even more so than our previous bet, the oddsmakers are way off on having Jake Hadley as an underdog against Coalan Loughran. Loughran hasn’t faced anywhere near the level of competition that Hadley has and really struggled in his UFC debut against a lesser known fighter. Hadley has fought some of the best fighters in the FLW division and this experience will carry him against a one dimensional fighter in Loughran. Expect Hadley to have a lot of dominant control time in a boring fight. Lougran won’t be able to keep the fight standing and will gas out long before Hadley even breaks a sweat. Expect a runaway by Hadley here. 

BEST BET: Jake Hadley ML @ +180

Paddy Pimblett (21-3) vs Bobby Green (32-15) 

Pimblett (-105) vs. Green (-115), 11pm ET 

The hype continues as Paddy Pimblett returns in front of his home crowd to take on Bobby Green who is 8 years his senior. These are the best odds so far in Paddy’s UFC career and we are going to take full advantage. Bobby Green possesses some danger in his striking, but the youthful chin of Paddy will be able to withstand the early attacks Green presents. Paddy has been working on his boxing relentlessly and will likely be able to contend even on the feet against Green. 

If Paddy is getting beaten on the feet, he can 100% take this fight to the ground at will and is a much better grappler than Green. I expect a close fight, both fighters are too tough for anyone to be blown out of the water. However, the prospects of a close fight 

lean even more so in Paddy’s favor. Judges LOVE Paddy. We have seen him take home quite a few questionable decisions and in front of a loud Manchester crowd, there

is no chance the judges score the fight against him no matter how lopsided it may be. Paddy the Baddy is a safe bet at odds that shouldn’t be this close. 

BEST BET: Paddy Pimblett ML @ -105

Belal Muhammad (23-3) vs Leon Edwards (22-3) 

Muhammad (+210) vs. Edwards (-275), 12am ET 

Short & sweet… Belal Muhammad has been an underdog in his last 5-fights and has won all of them in dominant fashion. Belal already fought Leon Edwards and before a tragic eye poke ended the fight, Belal was easily winning the round. Belal is the best wrestler Leon has faced. Belal has the best gas tank out of anyone Leon has faced. And most importantly, Belal has the most will to win out of anyone in the UFC right now. There is no stopping Belal Muhammad on his conquest for gold. The bad blood between the two only makes this fight more exciting as Belal prepares to cash his 6th underdog ticker in a row. 

BEST BET: Belal Muhammad ML @ +210