Wyoming leads the Mountain West in yards per carry (5.6) and possesses a run-centric offensive scheme. Their 248.3 rushing yards per game ranks 14th in FBS. The only problem is that San Diego State’s rush defense is the best in the country. The Aztecs are allowing just 45.4 rushing yards per game and an incredible 1.79 yards per attempt.
They allowed just 18 to Colorado State in a 24-10 victory last week and the most they’ve allowed in a single game this season is 82 (to Utah State on September 21st).
If Wyoming can’t move the ball on the ground, they could be in deep trouble. The Cowboys rank 128th out of 130 FBS teams in passing yards (116.6 per game) and rank dead last in completion percentage (36.7).
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While the Aztecs defense has been incredible, the Cowboys rank 10th in FBS in rushing yards allowed per game (83.4) and has allowed just 2.32 yards per carry. However, they’ve allowed a whopping 328.8 passing yards per game (127th).
However, that isn’t exactly a major issue against San Diego State, who averages just 189.0 passing yards per contest.
Both teams should struggle to move the ball against each other, which is why…
BetQL’s NCAA Football Model lists under the 38 point total as a ★★ bet in this game. Therefore, expect points to be hard to come by.