Week 7 College Football Public & Sharp Betting Report
College football line movement, sharp bets and heavy public favorites for Week 7
Matthew Horner - Oct 15, 2022, 9:08am EDT
Two and a half months of college football have gone by the wayside, which is just a surreal feeling to know that the season is halfway over. It's crazy how fast time flies when you are winning bets and killing the books with the BetQL model. The college season has seen so many twists and turns, crazy comebacks and huge blowout victories, and it's hard to keep up with it all with so many teams in action every Saturday. The good news is, you don't have to. Leave that to BetQL.
Not only do we have our model's best bets and expert articles, but we also have live data tracking what the public is betting, where the sharps are betting and how the lines are moving. When you subscribe to BetQL, you'll gain access to all of that real-time data, as well as the best bets and key trends for every game.
Let's take a look at some of the data from the games below as we give you a sneak preview of one of BetQL's most helpful tools. You can also take advantage of BetQL's 3-day free trial and see all of today's best bets, plus what the model is picking for all sports, including NFL Week 6. Start your free trial today!
Line Movement: Minnesota at No. 24 Illinois
This is one of the key games in Week 7 where we have seen some significant line movement from the opening number. Minnesota was one of the hotter teams in college football to start the year, blowing out everyone who got in their way. Then they ran into a buzzsaw against Purdue in their last game, and now sit at 4-1 on the season.
Illinois is ranked for the first time in years, and they are getting absolutely no respect at home. We started out with Minnesota being favored by -3.5, but that line has since jumped up to -7. The Golden Gophers are clearly getting a lot of respect with that type of move, but people also just might not like Illinois and think they are overrated. Illinois is 4-2 ATS, while Minnesota is 4-1 ATS.
What this all means is books have seen a massive influx of cash coming in on the Golden Gophers. You can clearly see this on our "Line Movement" page of our website, which will show you the difference between the opening line and current number. BetQL's lines change immediately when the sportsbooks change theirs, so you can always count on us to have the most updated number.
See our model's best bets for this game below and be sure to check out all line movement data for this week's slate of games!
Sharp Money: Auburn at No. 9 Ole Miss
Auburn is a program that was one of the best in college football for many years, but they have been down bad recently. This year is no exception, and now they have to go on the road to take on No. 9 Ole Miss. The smart folks are loving the favorite in this game, and maybe there is some value to be had here at the current number with the Rebels.
At the time of this writing, 50% of tickets are backing Auburn to cover as the +15.5 underdog, but just 21% of the money is backing those tickets. Almost 79% of the total money is backing Ole Miss versus the spread, but just 50% of tickets. That's a 29% difference between the total money wagered and the total ticket percentage, a huge sharp bet. This is a massive spread, but the big spenders are loving the Rebels to make the game get out of hand against the Tigers.
This data is available for every game of the slate for BetQL subscribers, so they always know which bet the high-rollers are backing. Compare this with our best bets for this game below.
Public Bets: No. 19 Kansas at Oklahoma
No. 19 Kansas is coming off their first loss of the season against No.17 TCU last week, but that hasn't stopped people from hammering them all week long against a down-and-out Sooners team. Kansas is 5-0-1 ATS on the season so far, while Oklahoma is just 2-4 ATS. No one wants a part of them right now.
Taking a look at our data, a huge 90% of the tickets are on Kansas +8.5, so pretty much everyone is betting on the Jayhawks to keep the game in hand against the Sooners and cover the spread.
Betting against the public can be a smart strategy, though, when it creates value on the opposite side. It doesn't always pan out, so you always have to be mindful of how you're factoring in this data, but BetQL will help you make these decisions with our model projections and analysis. Find out if our model is aligned with the public.
Take advantage of BetQL's 3-day free trial and see all of today's best bets, plus what the model is projecting for NFL Week 6! Start your free trial today!